California Connections Academy @ North Bay: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
8	18,603	2577.1	− 2567	10.1	× 11 / 27	4.1
11	18,605	2643.1	− 2583	60.1	× 16 / 27	35.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						40

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	18,933	2549.9	− 2531	18.9	× 11 / 31	6.7
11	18,938	2650.0	− 2583	67	× 20 / 31	43.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						50

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
7	18,945	2533.1	− 2552	−18.9	× 17 / 51	−6.3
8	18,946	2567.7	− 2567	0.7	× 19 / 51	0.3
11	18,949	2600.0	− 2583	17	× 15 / 51	5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
7	19,091	2550.0	− 2552	−2	× 17 / 66	−0.5
8	19,092	2550.5	− 2567	−16.5	× 23 / 66	−5.8
11	19,093	2584.2	− 2583	1.2	× 26 / 66	0.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
7	19,142	2525.2	− 2552	−26.8	× 16 / 45	−9.5
8	19,143	2608.3	− 2567	41.3	× 11 / 45	10.1
11	19,144	2597.1	− 2583	14.1	× 18 / 45	5.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
8	19,088	2566.5	− 2567	−0.5	× 12 / 26	−0.2
11	19,089	2626.5	− 2583	43.5	× 14 / 26	23.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						23

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
7	19,033	2540.4	− 2552	−11.6	× 11 / 35	−3.6
8	19,034	2533.1	− 2567	−33.9	× 11 / 35	−10.7
11	19,035	2562.2	− 2583	−20.8	× 13 / 35	−7.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−22

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
7	19,022	2545.4	− 2552	−6.6	× 13 / 61	−1.4
8	19,023	2574.3	− 2567	7.3	× 20 / 61	2.4
11	19,024	2604.3	− 2583	21.3	× 28 / 61	9.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						11

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 40, 50, −1, −6, 6, 23, −22, 11 → 12.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2016→2017: 10 · 2017→2018: 51 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 12 · 2022→2023: 17 · 2023→2024: 45 · 2024→2025: 33 → average 24.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 24.7 × 2.66 = 65.7. Upper limit 78.3, lower limit −53.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.