Teresa Burke Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,193	2344.5	− 2432	−87.5	× 125 / 467	−23.4
4	18,195	2386.4	− 2473	−86.6	× 116 / 467	−21.5
5	18,197	2437.3	− 2502	−64.7	× 109 / 467	−15.1
6	18,199	2459.7	− 2531	−71.3	× 117 / 467	−17.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,206	2355.9	− 2432	−76.1	× 109 / 450	−18.4
4	17,207	2400.3	− 2473	−72.7	× 126 / 450	−20.4
5	17,210	2436.3	− 2502	−65.7	× 111 / 450	−16.2
6	17,212	2478.5	− 2531	−52.5	× 104 / 450	−12.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,519	2362.2	− 2432	−69.8	× 97 / 440	−15.4
4	17,521	2400.2	− 2473	−72.8	× 111 / 440	−18.4
5	17,523	2436.8	− 2502	−65.2	× 129 / 440	−19.1
6	17,525	2472.0	− 2531	−59	× 103 / 440	−13.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,543	2367.2	− 2432	−64.8	× 99 / 432	−14.9
4	17,544	2417.0	− 2473	−56	× 103 / 432	−13.4
5	17,547	2450.3	− 2502	−51.7	× 111 / 432	−13.3
6	17,548	2497.1	− 2531	−33.9	× 119 / 432	−9.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,684	2380.6	− 2432	−51.4	× 118 / 421	−14.4
4	17,685	2440.5	− 2473	−32.5	× 96 / 421	−7.4
5	17,686	2480.4	− 2502	−21.6	× 98 / 421	−5
6	17,687	2512.0	− 2531	−19	× 109 / 421	−4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,734	2375.4	− 2432	−56.6	× 88 / 279	−17.9
4	17,735	2418.9	− 2473	−54.1	× 88 / 279	−17.1
5	17,736	2458.8	− 2502	−43.2	× 103 / 279	−15.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,690	2368.9	− 2432	−63.1	× 87 / 256	−21.4
4	17,691	2418.4	− 2473	−54.6	× 91 / 256	−19.4
5	17,692	2447.8	− 2502	−54.2	× 78 / 256	−16.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,640	2380.3	− 2432	−51.7	× 69 / 249	−14.3
4	17,641	2423.4	− 2473	−49.6	× 87 / 249	−17.3
5	17,642	2458.5	− 2502	−43.5	× 93 / 249	−16.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,634	2406.8	− 2432	−25.2	× 84 / 238	−8.9
4	17,635	2446.1	− 2473	−26.9	× 70 / 238	−7.9
5	17,636	2453.8	− 2502	−48.2	× 84 / 238	−17
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −78, −67, −67, −51, −32, −51, −57, −48, −34 → −53.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 11 · 2016→2017: 0 · 2017→2018: 16 · 2018→2019: 19 · 2019→2022: 19 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 9 · 2024→2025: 14 → average 11.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.8 × 2.66 = 31.4. Upper limit −22.5, lower limit −85.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.