Myron D. Witter Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,656	2381.9	− 2432	−50.1	× 196 / 196	−50.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,676	2381.2	− 2432	−50.8	× 102 / 441	−11.7
4	13,678	2405.3	− 2473	−67.7	× 99 / 441	−15.2
5	13,681	2462.2	− 2502	−39.8	× 123 / 441	−11.1
6	13,682	2518.2	− 2531	−12.8	× 117 / 441	−3.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−41

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,011	2414.4	− 2432	−17.6	× 125 / 445	−4.9
4	14,014	2445.8	− 2473	−27.2	× 95 / 445	−5.8
5	14,016	2474.2	− 2502	−27.8	× 97 / 445	−6.1
6	14,017	2528.4	− 2531	−2.6	× 128 / 445	−0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,015	2413.4	− 2432	−18.6	× 109 / 438	−4.6
4	14,018	2439.8	− 2473	−33.2	× 133 / 438	−10.1
5	14,019	2467.5	− 2502	−34.5	× 100 / 438	−7.9
6	14,022	2488.1	− 2531	−42.9	× 96 / 438	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,126	2412.9	− 2432	−19.1	× 133 / 461	−5.5
4	14,127	2458.7	− 2473	−14.3	× 96 / 461	−3
5	14,128	2485.2	− 2502	−16.8	× 133 / 461	−4.8
6	14,129	2518.3	− 2531	−12.7	× 99 / 461	−2.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,117	2403.2	− 2432	−28.8	× 119 / 468	−7.3
4	14,118	2433.3	− 2473	−39.7	× 118 / 468	−10
5	14,119	2493.2	− 2502	−8.8	× 111 / 468	−2.1
6	14,120	2516.9	− 2531	−14.1	× 120 / 468	−3.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,084	2404.7	− 2432	−27.3	× 95 / 469	−5.5
4	14,085	2433.7	− 2473	−39.3	× 131 / 469	−11
5	14,086	2472.6	− 2502	−29.4	× 117 / 469	−7.3
6	14,087	2528.7	− 2531	−2.3	× 126 / 469	−0.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,035	2406.4	− 2432	−25.6	× 109 / 467	−6
4	14,036	2445.0	− 2473	−28	× 109 / 467	−6.5
5	14,037	2477.7	− 2502	−24.3	× 128 / 467	−6.7
6	14,038	2491.6	− 2531	−39.4	× 121 / 467	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,003	2401.6	− 2432	−30.4	× 108 / 332	−9.9
4	14,004	2456.5	− 2473	−16.5	× 112 / 332	−5.6
5	14,005	2467.0	− 2502	−35	× 112 / 332	−11.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −50, −41, −18, −32, −16, −23, −24, −29, −27 → −28.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 9 · 2016→2017: 23 · 2017→2018: 14 · 2018→2019: 16 · 2019→2022: 7 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 2 → average 9.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.6 × 2.66 = 25.5. Upper limit −3.4, lower limit −54.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.