King Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,074	2348.9	− 2432	−83.1	× 86 / 324	−22.1
4	11,077	2360.9	− 2473	−112.1	× 90 / 324	−31.1
5	11,078	2420.8	− 2502	−81.2	× 83 / 324	−20.8
6	11,081	2476.0	− 2531	−55	× 65 / 324	−11
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−85

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,093	2341.9	− 2432	−90.1	× 93 / 320	−26.2
4	10,095	2372.4	− 2473	−100.6	× 70 / 320	−22
5	10,097	2387.0	− 2502	−115	× 80 / 320	−28.8
6	10,098	2480.4	− 2531	−50.6	× 77 / 320	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,421	2334.4	− 2432	−97.6	× 77 / 303	−24.8
4	10,422	2380.0	− 2473	−93	× 81 / 303	−24.9
5	10,424	2455.3	− 2502	−46.7	× 63 / 303	−9.7
6	10,426	2465.6	− 2531	−65.4	× 82 / 303	−17.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−77

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,433	2331.9	− 2432	−100.1	× 85 / 294	−28.9
4	10,434	2375.0	− 2473	−98	× 63 / 294	−21
5	10,437	2436.8	− 2502	−65.2	× 82 / 294	−18.2
6	10,438	2500.0	− 2531	−31	× 64 / 294	−6.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−75

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,508	2352.7	− 2432	−79.3	× 86 / 328	−20.8
4	10,509	2363.9	− 2473	−109.1	× 77 / 328	−25.6
5	10,510	2429.1	− 2502	−72.9	× 76 / 328	−16.9
6	10,511	2462.4	− 2531	−68.6	× 89 / 328	−18.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−82

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,501	2338.0	− 2432	−94	× 83 / 319	−24.5
4	10,502	2373.9	− 2473	−99.1	× 86 / 319	−26.7
5	10,503	2411.6	− 2502	−90.4	× 78 / 319	−22.1
6	10,504	2436.8	− 2531	−94.2	× 72 / 319	−21.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,489	2342.4	− 2432	−89.6	× 78 / 318	−22
4	10,490	2389.5	− 2473	−83.5	× 81 / 318	−21.3
5	10,491	2436.5	− 2502	−65.5	× 79 / 318	−16.3
6	10,492	2437.0	− 2531	−94	× 80 / 318	−23.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,455	2358.1	− 2432	−73.9	× 86 / 309	−20.6
4	10,456	2362.4	− 2473	−110.6	× 75 / 309	−26.8
5	10,457	2427.7	− 2502	−74.3	× 73 / 309	−17.6
6	10,458	2462.7	− 2531	−68.3	× 75 / 309	−16.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−82

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,432	2353.5	− 2432	−78.5	× 77 / 305	−19.8
4	10,433	2370.5	− 2473	−102.5	× 82 / 305	−27.6
5	10,434	2419.9	− 2502	−82.1	× 71 / 305	−19.1
6	10,435	2459.1	− 2531	−71.9	× 75 / 305	−17.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−84

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −85, −89, −77, −75, −82, −95, −83, −82, −84 → −83.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 4 · 2016→2017: 12 · 2017→2018: 2 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 12 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 2 → average 6.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.6 × 2.66 = 17.6. Upper limit −66, lower limit −101.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.