Forest Charter: science

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against each grade's bar

California tests science only in grades 5 and 8 and once in high school, so a school shows one or two grades here. Each grade's science test has its own scale, so each grade is measured against its own bar.

5th The average 5th grader scores 12 points under the grade 5 bar. 202 vs. 214.
8th The average 8th grader scores just under the grade 8 bar. 407 vs. 415.
10th The average 10th grader scores just under the grade 10 bar. 612 vs. 615.
11th The average 11th grader scores 11 points under the grade 11 bar. 605 vs. 615.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2019 from cast_ca2019_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	12,839	206.8	− 214	−7.2	× 34 / 183	−1.3
8	12,840	399.2	− 415	−15.8	× 80 / 183	−6.9
12	12,841	602.4	− 615	−12.6	× 69 / 183	−4.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2022 from cast_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	15,960	205.8	− 214	−8.2	× 38 / 153	−2
8	15,961	413.7	− 415	−1.3	× 53 / 153	−0.5
11	15,962	599.9	− 615	−15.1	× 30 / 153	−3
12	15,963	612.4	− 615	−2.6	× 32 / 153	−0.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2023 from cast_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	16,021	208.2	− 214	−5.8	× 48 / 186	−1.5
8	16,022	397.1	− 415	−17.9	× 63 / 186	−6.1
11	16,023	602.8	− 615	−12.2	× 56 / 186	−3.7
12	16,024	615.8	− 615	0.8	× 19 / 186	0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

2024 from cast_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	15,990	200.5	− 214	−13.5	× 53 / 232	−3.1
8	15,991	401.6	− 415	−13.4	× 72 / 232	−4.2
10	15,992	607.7	− 615	−7.3	× 29 / 232	−0.9
11	15,993	602.9	− 615	−12.1	× 62 / 232	−3.2
12	15,994	608.0	− 615	−7	× 16 / 232	−0.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−12

2025 from cast_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	15,983	202.5	− 214	−11.5	× 56 / 196	−3.3
8	15,984	404.3	− 415	−10.7	× 80 / 196	−4.4
10	15,985	605.3	− 615	−9.7	× 19 / 196	−0.9
11	15,986	599.5	− 615	−15.5	× 41 / 196	−3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−12

2026 from cast_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	15,855	201.9	− 214	−12.1	× 49 / 156	−3.8
8	15,856	407.3	− 415	−7.7	× 55 / 156	−2.7
10	15,857	611.8	− 615	−3.2	× 16 / 156	−0.3
11	15,858	604.5	− 615	−10.5	× 36 / 156	−2.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −13, −6, −11, −12, −12, −9 → −10.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2019→2022: 7 · 2022→2023: 5 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 0 · 2025→2026: 3 → average 3.2
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 3.2 × 2.66 = 8.5. Upper limit −2, lower limit −19.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.