Santa Paula Unified: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	105,006	2377.6	− 2436	−58.4	× 485 / 2910	−9.7
4	105,009	2424.7	− 2485	−60.3	× 420 / 2910	−8.7
5	105,010	2453.8	− 2528	−74.2	× 442 / 2910	−11.3
6	105,013	2480.3	− 2552	−71.7	× 409 / 2910	−10.1
7	105,014	2494.4	− 2567	−72.6	× 363 / 2910	−9.1
8	105,017	2501.7	− 2586	−84.3	× 384 / 2910	−11.1
11	105,018	2527.3	− 2628	−100.7	× 407 / 2910	−14.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	97,539	2387.5	− 2436	−48.5	× 448 / 2918	−7.4
4	97,541	2432.5	− 2485	−52.5	× 480 / 2918	−8.6
5	97,543	2452.2	− 2528	−75.8	× 409 / 2918	−10.6
6	97,546	2478.6	− 2552	−73.4	× 449 / 2918	−11.3
7	97,547	2487.7	− 2567	−79.3	× 416 / 2918	−11.3
8	97,549	2508.5	− 2586	−77.5	× 360 / 2918	−9.6
11	97,552	2515.1	− 2628	−112.9	× 356 / 2918	−13.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−73

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,373	2399.9	− 2436	−36.1	× 385 / 2923	−4.8
4	100,374	2442.6	− 2485	−42.4	× 435 / 2923	−6.3
5	100,376	2455.2	− 2528	−72.8	× 465 / 2923	−11.6
6	100,379	2465.0	− 2552	−87	× 388 / 2923	−11.5
7	100,381	2490.8	− 2567	−76.2	× 441 / 2923	−11.5
8	100,382	2500.6	− 2586	−85.4	× 419 / 2923	−12.2
11	100,385	2525.8	− 2628	−102.2	× 390 / 2923	−13.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,528	2420.0	− 2436	−16	× 379 / 2839	−2.1
4	100,530	2443.7	− 2485	−41.3	× 378 / 2839	−5.5
5	100,531	2451.0	− 2528	−77	× 421 / 2839	−11.4
6	100,534	2449.9	− 2552	−102.1	× 443 / 2839	−15.9
7	100,535	2482.2	− 2567	−84.8	× 384 / 2839	−11.5
8	100,537	2499.5	− 2586	−86.5	× 438 / 2839	−13.3
11	100,539	2526.4	− 2628	−101.6	× 396 / 2839	−14.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,192	2412.1	− 2436	−23.9	× 367 / 2698	−3.3
4	101,193	2459.1	− 2485	−25.9	× 377 / 2698	−3.6
5	101,194	2463.2	− 2528	−64.8	× 374 / 2698	−9
6	101,195	2449.0	− 2552	−103	× 404 / 2698	−15.4
7	101,196	2476.0	− 2567	−91	× 429 / 2698	−14.5
8	101,197	2492.2	− 2586	−93.8	× 385 / 2698	−13.4
11	101,198	2542.9	− 2628	−85.1	× 362 / 2698	−11.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,437	2374.1	− 2436	−61.9	× 320 / 2366	−8.4
4	101,438	2425.6	− 2485	−59.4	× 324 / 2366	−8.1
5	101,439	2452.0	− 2528	−76	× 336 / 2366	−10.8
6	101,440	2437.1	− 2552	−114.9	× 331 / 2366	−16.1
7	101,441	2450.6	− 2567	−116.4	× 332 / 2366	−16.3
8	101,442	2453.4	− 2586	−132.6	× 343 / 2366	−19.2
11	101,443	2499.4	− 2628	−128.6	× 380 / 2366	−20.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−100

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,271	2390.8	− 2436	−45.2	× 318 / 2412	−6
4	101,272	2420.5	− 2485	−64.5	× 322 / 2412	−8.6
5	101,273	2451.8	− 2528	−76.2	× 320 / 2412	−10.1
6	101,274	2436.3	− 2552	−115.7	× 312 / 2412	−15
7	101,275	2452.3	− 2567	−114.7	× 330 / 2412	−15.7
8	101,276	2460.4	− 2586	−125.6	× 338 / 2412	−17.6
11	101,277	2491.7	− 2628	−136.3	× 472 / 2412	−26.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−100

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,152	2394.7	− 2436	−41.3	× 318 / 2365	−5.6
4	101,153	2444.8	− 2485	−40.2	× 319 / 2365	−5.4
5	101,154	2457.1	− 2528	−70.9	× 323 / 2365	−9.7
6	101,155	2443.0	− 2552	−109	× 327 / 2365	−15.1
7	101,156	2462.8	− 2567	−104.2	× 318 / 2365	−14
8	101,157	2470.9	− 2586	−115.1	× 340 / 2365	−16.5
11	101,158	2481.6	− 2628	−146.4	× 420 / 2365	−26
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−92

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,812	2400.1	− 2436	−35.9	× 299 / 2282	−4.7
4	100,813	2434.0	− 2485	−51	× 314 / 2282	−7
5	100,814	2466.0	− 2528	−62	× 320 / 2282	−8.7
6	100,815	2456.4	− 2552	−95.6	× 318 / 2282	−13.3
7	100,816	2464.8	− 2567	−102.2	× 313 / 2282	−14
8	100,817	2478.1	− 2586	−107.9	× 319 / 2282	−15.1
11	100,818	2509.9	− 2628	−118.1	× 399 / 2282	−20.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,475	2404.9	− 2436	−31.1	× 289 / 2195	−4.1
4	100,476	2440.4	− 2485	−44.6	× 305 / 2195	−6.2
5	100,477	2462.3	− 2528	−65.7	× 308 / 2195	−9.2
6	100,478	2468.5	− 2552	−83.5	× 312 / 2195	−11.9
7	100,479	2482.4	− 2567	−84.6	× 304 / 2195	−11.7
8	100,480	2491.5	− 2586	−94.5	× 306 / 2195	−13.2
11	100,481	2501.8	− 2628	−126.2	× 371 / 2195	−21.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −74, −73, −72, −74, −71, −100, −100, −92, −83, −78 → −81.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 1 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 2 · 2018→2019: 3 · 2019→2022: 29 · 2022→2023: 0 · 2023→2024: 8 · 2024→2025: 9 · 2025→2026: 5 → average 6.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.4 × 2.66 = 17. Upper limit −64.7, lower limit −98.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Santa Paula Unified