Earlimart Elementary: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,504	2348.3	− 2436	−87.7	× 196 / 1272	−13.5
4	100,505	2398.1	− 2485	−86.9	× 226 / 1272	−15.4
5	100,508	2424.2	− 2528	−103.8	× 218 / 1272	−17.8
6	100,509	2412.9	− 2552	−139.1	× 227 / 1272	−24.8
7	100,512	2458.3	− 2567	−108.7	× 209 / 1272	−17.9
8	100,513	2484.1	− 2586	−101.9	× 196 / 1272	−15.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−105

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,196	2373.9	− 2436	−62.1	× 237 / 1268	−11.6
4	93,198	2411.6	− 2485	−73.4	× 179 / 1268	−10.4
5	93,200	2422.3	− 2528	−105.7	× 225 / 1268	−18.8
6	93,203	2427.2	− 2552	−124.8	× 198 / 1268	−19.5
7	93,204	2456.6	− 2567	−110.4	× 226 / 1268	−19.7
8	93,207	2476.5	− 2586	−109.5	× 203 / 1268	−17.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−97

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	95,964	2378.0	− 2436	−58	× 204 / 1236	−9.6
4	95,966	2412.0	− 2485	−73	× 224 / 1236	−13.2
5	95,969	2435.3	− 2528	−92.7	× 180 / 1236	−13.5
6	95,970	2407.3	− 2552	−144.7	× 215 / 1236	−25.2
7	95,973	2477.2	− 2567	−89.8	× 196 / 1236	−14.2
8	95,974	2447.7	− 2586	−138.3	× 217 / 1236	−24.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−100

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,152	2378.8	− 2436	−57.2	× 196 / 1191	−9.4
4	96,155	2415.9	− 2485	−69.1	× 202 / 1191	−11.7
5	96,156	2431.8	− 2528	−96.2	× 219 / 1191	−17.7
6	96,159	2424.5	− 2552	−127.5	× 167 / 1191	−17.9
7	96,160	2448.3	− 2567	−118.7	× 213 / 1191	−21.2
8	96,163	2478.4	− 2586	−107.6	× 194 / 1191	−17.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,822	2369.7	− 2436	−66.3	× 189 / 1139	−11
4	96,823	2424.4	− 2485	−60.6	× 190 / 1139	−10.1
5	96,824	2431.0	− 2528	−97	× 192 / 1139	−16.4
6	96,825	2433.1	− 2552	−118.9	× 203 / 1139	−21.2
7	96,826	2465.4	− 2567	−101.6	× 162 / 1139	−14.5
8	96,827	2489.5	− 2586	−96.5	× 203 / 1139	−17.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	94,718	2400.7	− 2552	−151.3	× 169 / 546	−46.8
7	94,719	2435.1	− 2567	−131.9	× 176 / 546	−42.5
8	94,720	2436.5	− 2586	−149.5	× 201 / 546	−55
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−144

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	97,022	2351.2	− 2436	−84.8	× 144 / 981	−12.4
4	97,023	2397.1	− 2485	−87.9	× 170 / 981	−15.2
5	97,024	2419.8	− 2528	−108.2	× 173 / 981	−19.1
6	97,025	2397.3	− 2552	−154.7	× 166 / 981	−26.2
7	97,026	2435.7	− 2567	−131.3	× 158 / 981	−21.1
8	97,027	2441.3	− 2586	−144.7	× 170 / 981	−25.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−119

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,869	2376.7	− 2436	−59.3	× 141 / 939	−8.9
4	96,870	2409.6	− 2485	−75.4	× 145 / 939	−11.6
5	96,871	2420.3	− 2528	−107.7	× 172 / 939	−19.7
6	96,872	2438.8	− 2552	−113.2	× 164 / 939	−19.8
7	96,873	2408.3	− 2567	−158.7	× 161 / 939	−27.2
8	96,874	2435.4	− 2586	−150.6	× 156 / 939	−25
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−112

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,760	2370.5	− 2436	−65.5	× 151 / 921	−10.7
4	96,761	2410.8	− 2485	−74.2	× 141 / 921	−11.4
5	96,762	2426.7	− 2528	−101.3	× 149 / 921	−16.4
6	96,763	2405.7	− 2552	−146.3	× 157 / 921	−24.9
7	96,764	2442.2	− 2567	−124.8	× 159 / 921	−21.5
8	96,765	2444.1	− 2586	−141.9	× 164 / 921	−25.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−110

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,485	2368.0	− 2436	−68	× 144 / 905	−10.8
4	96,486	2410.4	− 2485	−74.6	× 155 / 905	−12.8
5	96,487	2433.0	− 2528	−95	× 136 / 905	−14.3
6	96,488	2400.4	− 2552	−151.6	× 148 / 905	−24.8
7	96,489	2426.9	− 2567	−140.1	× 158 / 905	−24.5
8	96,490	2459.4	− 2586	−126.6	× 164 / 905	−22.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−110

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,109	2381.3	− 2436	−54.7	× 140 / 862	−8.9
4	96,110	2410.7	− 2485	−74.3	× 142 / 862	−12.2
5	96,111	2439.4	− 2528	−88.6	× 150 / 862	−15.4
6	96,112	2377.7	− 2552	−174.3	× 131 / 862	−26.5
7	96,113	2441.3	− 2567	−125.7	× 142 / 862	−20.7
8	96,114	2431.5	− 2586	−154.5	× 157 / 862	−28.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−112

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −105, −97, −100, −95, −90, −144, −119, −112, −110, −110, −112 → −108.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 8 · 2016→2017: 3 · 2017→2018: 5 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2021: 54 · 2021→2022: 25 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 2 · 2024→2025: 0 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 11.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.1 × 2.66 = 29.5. Upper limit −79, lower limit −138.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Schools in Earlimart Elementary

Elementary schools

Middle schools

Earlimart Middle