Hickman Middle: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 8.

6th The average 6th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2527 vs. 2528. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.
7th The average 7th grader meets the grade 7 bar. 2590 vs. 2567.
8th The average 8th grader scores 13 points under the grade 7 bar. 2554 vs. 2567. The 8th-grade bar is 2586.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	96,861	2526.9	− 2552	−25.1	× 65 / 184	−8.9
7	96,863	2579.0	− 2567	12	× 58 / 184	3.8
8	96,864	2541.3	− 2586	−44.7	× 61 / 184	−14.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−20

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,816	2557.6	− 2552	5.6	× 58 / 181	1.8
7	89,818	2571.0	− 2567	4	× 67 / 181	1.5
8	89,821	2580.0	− 2586	−6	× 56 / 181	−1.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	92,441	2555.7	− 2552	3.7	× 64 / 183	1.3
7	92,443	2584.2	− 2567	17.2	× 58 / 183	5.5
8	92,444	2557.9	− 2586	−28.1	× 61 / 183	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	92,640	2557.0	− 2552	5	× 59 / 180	1.6
7	92,641	2583.5	− 2567	16.5	× 62 / 180	5.7
8	92,644	2580.7	− 2586	−5.3	× 59 / 180	−1.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,274	2545.2	− 2552	−6.8	× 63 / 187	−2.3
7	93,275	2567.6	− 2567	0.6	× 60 / 187	0.2
8	93,276	2573.4	− 2586	−12.6	× 64 / 187	−4.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	91,289	2551.5	− 2552	−0.5	× 45 / 145	−0.2
7	91,290	2547.3	− 2567	−19.7	× 41 / 145	−5.6
8	91,291	2560.6	− 2586	−25.4	× 59 / 145	−10.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,505	2551.6	− 2552	−0.4	× 51 / 147	−0.1
7	93,506	2578.3	− 2567	11.3	× 48 / 147	3.7
8	93,507	2565.7	− 2586	−20.3	× 48 / 147	−6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,405	2536.3	− 2552	−15.7	× 40 / 142	−4.4
7	93,406	2553.6	− 2567	−13.4	× 53 / 142	−5
8	93,407	2583.3	− 2586	−2.7	× 49 / 142	−0.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,288	2521.1	− 2552	−30.9	× 52 / 145	−11.1
7	93,289	2552.0	− 2567	−15	× 37 / 145	−3.8
8	93,290	2557.8	− 2586	−28.2	× 56 / 145	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,018	2548.3	− 2552	−3.7	× 52 / 139	−1.4
7	93,019	2561.5	− 2567	−5.5	× 48 / 139	−1.9
8	93,020	2554.1	− 2586	−31.9	× 39 / 139	−9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−12

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	92,618	2527.1	− 2552	−24.9	× 48 / 150	−8
7	92,619	2589.6	− 2567	22.6	× 52 / 150	7.8
8	92,620	2553.6	− 2586	−32.4	× 50 / 150	−10.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −20, 1, −3, 6, −6, −16, −3, −10, −26, −12, −11 → −9.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 21 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 12 · 2019→2021: 10 · 2021→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 16 · 2024→2025: 14 · 2025→2026: 1 → average 10.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.7 × 2.66 = 28.5. Upper limit 19.4, lower limit −37.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.