Valencia Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 15 points under the grade 3 bar. 2421 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2488 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2525 vs. 2528.
6th The average 6th grader meets the grade 6 bar. 2565 vs. 2552.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,230	2440.7	− 2436	4.7	× 71 / 307	1.1
4	90,231	2465.4	− 2485	−19.6	× 64 / 307	−4.1
5	90,233	2539.1	− 2528	11.1	× 91 / 307	3.3
6	90,235	2516.4	− 2552	−35.6	× 81 / 307	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,707	2454.8	− 2436	18.8	× 67 / 310	4.1
4	83,709	2485.5	− 2485	0.5	× 78 / 310	0.1
5	83,712	2542.8	− 2528	14.8	× 71 / 310	3.4
6	83,714	2519.2	− 2552	−32.8	× 94 / 310	−9.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−2

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,024	2454.4	− 2436	18.4	× 61 / 279	4
4	86,025	2461.9	− 2485	−23.1	× 72 / 279	−6
5	86,027	2556.0	− 2528	28	× 81 / 279	8.1
6	86,030	2555.8	− 2552	3.8	× 65 / 279	0.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,256	2436.6	− 2436	0.6	× 76 / 299	0.2
4	86,258	2481.7	− 2485	−3.3	× 66 / 299	−0.7
5	86,260	2541.4	− 2528	13.4	× 72 / 299	3.2
6	86,261	2579.3	− 2552	27.3	× 85 / 299	7.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						10

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,852	2450.5	− 2436	14.5	× 73 / 287	3.7
4	86,853	2488.4	− 2485	3.4	× 74 / 287	0.9
5	86,854	2537.1	− 2528	9.1	× 70 / 287	2.2
6	86,855	2543.2	− 2552	−8.8	× 70 / 287	−2.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						5

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	87,121	2429.8	− 2436	−6.2	× 57 / 269	−1.3
4	87,122	2474.1	− 2485	−10.9	× 70 / 269	−2.8
5	87,123	2530.8	− 2528	2.8	× 75 / 269	0.8
6	87,124	2535.1	− 2552	−16.9	× 67 / 269	−4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	87,045	2445.1	− 2436	9.1	× 70 / 280	2.3
4	87,046	2483.3	− 2485	−1.7	× 59 / 280	−0.4
5	87,047	2522.4	− 2528	−5.6	× 77 / 280	−1.5
6	87,048	2530.9	− 2552	−21.1	× 74 / 280	−5.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−5

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	87,015	2463.5	− 2436	27.5	× 57 / 271	5.8
4	87,016	2490.2	− 2485	5.2	× 73 / 271	1.4
5	87,017	2534.6	− 2528	6.6	× 64 / 271	1.6
6	87,018	2547.1	− 2552	−4.9	× 77 / 271	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,699	2450.6	− 2436	14.6	× 67 / 272	3.6
4	86,700	2487.4	− 2485	2.4	× 62 / 272	0.5
5	86,701	2531.6	− 2528	3.6	× 79 / 272	1
6	86,702	2544.6	− 2552	−7.4	× 64 / 272	−1.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						3

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,422	2421.3	− 2436	−14.7	× 48 / 251	−2.8
4	86,423	2488.2	− 2485	3.2	× 63 / 251	0.8
5	86,424	2525.1	− 2528	−2.9	× 63 / 251	−0.7
6	86,425	2564.5	− 2552	12.5	× 77 / 251	3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −9, −2, 7, 10, 5, −8, −5, 7, 3, 1 → 0.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 3 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 12 · 2024→2025: 4 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 6.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.4 × 2.66 = 17. Upper limit 17.9, lower limit −16.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.