Paso Robles Joint Unified: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	82,187	2413.0	− 2436	−23	× 478 / 3286	−3.3
4	82,188	2448.4	− 2485	−36.6	× 452 / 3286	−5
5	82,191	2485.6	− 2528	−42.4	× 480 / 3286	−6.2
6	82,192	2516.8	− 2552	−35.2	× 466 / 3286	−5
7	82,195	2514.5	− 2567	−52.5	× 452 / 3286	−7.2
8	82,196	2532.9	− 2586	−53.1	× 500 / 3286	−8.1
11	82,199	2566.5	− 2628	−61.5	× 458 / 3286	−8.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,231	2424.1	− 2436	−11.9	× 473 / 3346	−1.7
4	76,232	2453.6	− 2485	−31.4	× 494 / 3346	−4.6
5	76,234	2491.1	− 2528	−36.9	× 456 / 3346	−5
6	76,237	2515.2	− 2552	−36.8	× 476 / 3346	−5.2
7	76,238	2518.4	− 2567	−48.6	× 477 / 3346	−6.9
8	76,241	2533.1	− 2586	−52.9	× 464 / 3346	−7.3
11	76,242	2576.7	− 2628	−51.3	× 506 / 3346	−7.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−39

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,268	2418.2	− 2436	−17.8	× 485 / 3437	−2.5
4	78,269	2452.9	− 2485	−32.1	× 477 / 3437	−4.5
5	78,271	2488.2	− 2528	−39.8	× 500 / 3437	−5.8
6	78,274	2496.6	− 2552	−55.4	× 468 / 3437	−7.5
7	78,275	2513.8	− 2567	−53.2	× 509 / 3437	−7.9
8	78,277	2522.2	− 2586	−63.8	× 482 / 3437	−8.9
11	78,279	2574.8	− 2628	−53.2	× 516 / 3437	−8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,418	2428.6	− 2436	−7.4	× 428 / 3449	−0.9
4	78,421	2453.2	− 2485	−31.8	× 486 / 3449	−4.5
5	78,422	2483.6	− 2528	−44.4	× 479 / 3449	−6.2
6	78,424	2506.1	− 2552	−45.9	× 512 / 3449	−6.8
7	78,427	2499.0	− 2567	−68	× 474 / 3449	−9.3
8	78,428	2549.8	− 2586	−36.2	× 514 / 3449	−5.4
11	78,431	2563.1	− 2628	−64.9	× 556 / 3449	−10.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−44

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,954	2433.5	− 2436	−2.5	× 478 / 3398	−0.4
4	78,955	2453.1	− 2485	−31.9	× 446 / 3398	−4.2
5	78,956	2489.4	− 2528	−38.6	× 488 / 3398	−5.5
6	78,957	2485.5	− 2552	−66.5	× 481 / 3398	−9.4
7	78,958	2514.9	− 2567	−52.1	× 529 / 3398	−8.1
8	78,959	2544.9	− 2586	−41.1	× 461 / 3398	−5.6
11	78,960	2570.7	− 2628	−57.3	× 515 / 3398	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
11	77,523	2563.0	− 2628	−65	× 471 / 471	−65
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,212	2399.1	− 2436	−36.9	× 425 / 3125	−5
4	79,213	2444.3	− 2485	−40.7	× 434 / 3125	−5.7
5	79,214	2468.5	− 2528	−59.5	× 447 / 3125	−8.5
6	79,215	2489.7	− 2552	−62.3	× 423 / 3125	−8.4
7	79,216	2503.0	− 2567	−64	× 433 / 3125	−8.9
8	79,217	2529.1	− 2586	−56.9	× 460 / 3125	−8.4
11	79,218	2533.3	− 2628	−94.7	× 503 / 3125	−15.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,186	2411.4	− 2436	−24.6	× 381 / 3097	−3
4	79,187	2447.5	− 2485	−37.5	× 418 / 3097	−5.1
5	79,188	2481.8	− 2528	−46.2	× 426 / 3097	−6.4
6	79,189	2479.6	− 2552	−72.4	× 435 / 3097	−10.2
7	79,190	2500.5	− 2567	−66.5	× 413 / 3097	−8.9
8	79,191	2522.0	− 2586	−64	× 447 / 3097	−9.2
11	79,192	2530.7	− 2628	−97.3	× 577 / 3097	−18.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−61

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,216	2408.2	− 2436	−27.8	× 416 / 3087	−3.7
4	79,217	2451.6	− 2485	−33.4	× 394 / 3087	−4.3
5	79,218	2473.0	− 2528	−55	× 446 / 3087	−7.9
6	79,219	2492.7	− 2552	−59.3	× 427 / 3087	−8.2
7	79,220	2486.8	− 2567	−80.2	× 438 / 3087	−11.4
8	79,221	2516.9	− 2586	−69.1	× 423 / 3087	−9.5
11	79,222	2519.1	− 2628	−108.9	× 543 / 3087	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,894	2398.6	− 2436	−37.4	× 436 / 3105	−5.3
4	78,895	2446.9	− 2485	−38.1	× 428 / 3105	−5.3
5	78,896	2481.1	− 2528	−46.9	× 394 / 3105	−6
6	78,897	2488.8	− 2552	−63.2	× 426 / 3105	−8.7
7	78,898	2494.4	− 2567	−72.6	× 415 / 3105	−9.7
8	78,899	2495.9	− 2586	−90.1	× 449 / 3105	−13
11	78,900	2538.2	− 2628	−89.8	× 557 / 3105	−16.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,810	2401.4	− 2436	−34.6	× 375 / 2954	−4.4
4	78,811	2443.5	− 2485	−41.5	× 432 / 2954	−6.1
5	78,812	2476.1	− 2528	−51.9	× 422 / 2954	−7.4
6	78,813	2490.5	− 2552	−61.5	× 378 / 2954	−7.9
7	78,814	2493.4	− 2567	−73.6	× 422 / 2954	−10.5
8	78,815	2509.6	− 2586	−76.4	× 423 / 2954	−10.9
11	78,816	2543.5	− 2628	−84.5	× 502 / 2954	−14.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −43, −39, −45, −44, −42, −65, −60, −61, −64, −64, −62 → −53.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 4 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 1 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2021: 23 · 2021→2022: 5 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 0 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 4.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 4.7 × 2.66 = 12.5. Upper limit −41, lower limit −66.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Paso Robles Joint Unified