Victory Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 8.

All students

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 28 points under the grade 3 bar. 2408 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 33 points under the grade 3 bar. 2403 vs. 2436. The 4th-grade bar is 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 31 points under the grade 3 bar. 2405 vs. 2436. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.
6th The average 6th grader scores 25 points under the grade 4 bar. 2460 vs. 2485. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.
7th The average 7th grader scores 19 points under the grade 4 bar. 2466 vs. 2485. The 7th-grade bar is 2567.
8th The average 8th grader scores 46 points under the grade 4 bar. 2439 vs. 2485. The 8th-grade bar is 2586.

Students fluent in English

Math with English out of the way. Includes students who have only ever spoken English.

Grade bars 4th 40 students 12 points under the grade 3 bar. 5th 40 students 23 points under the grade 3 bar. 6th 38 students 11 points under the grade 4 bar. 7th 47 students Just under the grade 4 bar.

English learners

Students leave this group as they become fluent, so its average stays low even where they learn well.

Grade bars 4th 14 students 92 points under the grade 3 bar. 5th 12 students 58 points under the grade 3 bar. 6th 11 students 25 points under the grade 3 bar. 7th 11 students 26 points under the grade 3 bar.

the group's average that grade's own bar the distance between

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade. The state leaves out any group of ten students or fewer, so a grade may be missing from the charts.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,008	2373.7	− 2436	−62.3	× 65 / 356	−11.4
4	81,010	2429.8	− 2485	−55.2	× 61 / 356	−9.5
5	81,012	2423.3	− 2528	−104.7	× 57 / 356	−16.8
6	81,014	2432.1	− 2552	−119.9	× 49 / 356	−16.5
7	81,016	2482.7	− 2567	−84.3	× 67 / 356	−15.9
8	81,018	2499.2	− 2586	−86.8	× 57 / 356	−13.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−84

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,108	2379.7	− 2436	−56.3	× 67 / 382	−9.9
4	75,110	2417.7	− 2485	−67.3	× 71 / 382	−12.5
5	75,112	2417.3	− 2528	−110.7	× 65 / 382	−18.8
6	75,115	2435.9	− 2552	−116.1	× 57 / 382	−17.3
7	75,116	2474.6	− 2567	−92.4	× 56 / 382	−13.5
8	75,119	2487.0	− 2586	−99	× 66 / 382	−17.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,117	2387.1	− 2436	−48.9	× 66 / 381	−8.5
4	77,119	2427.8	− 2485	−57.2	× 64 / 381	−9.6
5	77,121	2427.8	− 2528	−100.2	× 65 / 381	−17.1
6	77,124	2439.3	− 2552	−112.7	× 64 / 381	−18.9
7	77,125	2458.2	− 2567	−108.8	× 65 / 381	−18.6
8	77,127	2498.1	− 2586	−87.9	× 57 / 381	−13.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−86

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,307	2402.1	− 2436	−33.9	× 74 / 376	−6.7
4	77,308	2419.2	− 2485	−65.8	× 60 / 376	−10.5
5	77,311	2431.0	− 2528	−97	× 58 / 376	−15
6	77,312	2455.7	− 2552	−96.3	× 65 / 376	−16.6
7	77,315	2439.8	− 2567	−127.2	× 63 / 376	−21.3
8	77,316	2507.0	− 2586	−79	× 56 / 376	−11.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−82

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,829	2379.2	− 2436	−56.8	× 74 / 376	−11.2
4	77,830	2415.2	− 2485	−69.8	× 60 / 376	−11.1
5	77,831	2429.2	− 2528	−98.8	× 57 / 376	−15
6	77,832	2440.5	− 2552	−111.5	× 56 / 376	−16.6
7	77,833	2468.9	− 2567	−98.1	× 68 / 376	−17.7
8	77,834	2481.5	− 2586	−104.5	× 61 / 376	−17
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,965	2364.0	− 2436	−72	× 52 / 351	−10.7
4	77,966	2377.6	− 2485	−107.4	× 58 / 351	−17.7
5	77,967	2406.0	− 2528	−122	× 65 / 351	−22.6
6	77,968	2449.8	− 2552	−102.2	× 55 / 351	−16
7	77,969	2457.1	− 2567	−109.9	× 59 / 351	−18.5
8	77,970	2448.6	− 2586	−137.4	× 62 / 351	−24.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−110

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,957	2397.0	− 2436	−39	× 47 / 367	−5
4	77,958	2376.8	− 2485	−108.2	× 71 / 367	−20.9
5	77,959	2416.4	− 2528	−111.6	× 60 / 367	−18.2
6	77,960	2433.8	− 2552	−118.2	× 63 / 367	−20.3
7	77,961	2442.5	− 2567	−124.5	× 63 / 367	−21.4
8	77,962	2436.5	− 2586	−149.5	× 63 / 367	−25.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−111

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,975	2370.8	− 2436	−65.2	× 52 / 350	−9.7
4	77,976	2416.2	− 2485	−68.8	× 49 / 350	−9.6
5	77,977	2441.4	− 2528	−86.6	× 61 / 350	−15.1
6	77,978	2438.0	− 2552	−114	× 59 / 350	−19.2
7	77,979	2454.6	− 2567	−112.4	× 59 / 350	−18.9
8	77,980	2426.3	− 2586	−159.7	× 70 / 350	−31.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−105

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,637	2390.8	− 2436	−45.2	× 56 / 334	−7.6
4	77,638	2403.9	− 2485	−81.1	× 55 / 334	−13.4
5	77,639	2436.6	− 2528	−91.4	× 50 / 334	−13.7
6	77,640	2461.1	− 2552	−90.9	× 60 / 334	−16.3
7	77,641	2456.9	− 2567	−110.1	× 53 / 334	−17.5
8	77,642	2438.6	− 2586	−147.4	× 60 / 334	−26.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,545	2408.4	− 2436	−27.6	× 43 / 306	−3.9
4	77,546	2403.1	− 2485	−81.9	× 54 / 306	−14.5
5	77,547	2405.1	− 2528	−122.9	× 52 / 306	−20.9
6	77,548	2459.7	− 2552	−92.3	× 49 / 306	−14.8
7	77,549	2466.3	− 2567	−100.7	× 58 / 306	−19.1
8	77,550	2439.1	− 2586	−146.9	× 50 / 306	−24
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−97

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −84, −89, −86, −82, −89, −110, −111, −105, −95, −97 → −94.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 3 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 21 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 10 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 6.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.6 × 2.66 = 17.6. Upper limit −77.2, lower limit −112.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.