Ripon Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 8.

3rd The average 3rd grader meets the grade 3 bar. 2441 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 10 points under the grade 4 bar. 2475 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 27 points under the grade 5 bar. 2501 vs. 2528.
6th The average 6th grader scores 16 points under the grade 5 bar. 2512 vs. 2528. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.
7th The average 7th grader meets the grade 7 bar. 2568 vs. 2567.
8th The average 8th grader meets the grade 8 bar. 2655 vs. 2586.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,347	2411.6	− 2436	−24.4	× 45 / 298	−3.7
4	80,349	2467.5	− 2485	−17.5	× 51 / 298	−3
5	80,351	2460.4	− 2528	−67.6	× 57 / 298	−12.9
6	80,353	2520.8	− 2552	−31.2	× 59 / 298	−6.2
7	80,356	2565.4	− 2567	−1.6	× 31 / 298	−0.2
8	80,357	2569.6	− 2586	−16.4	× 55 / 298	−3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	74,455	2438.6	− 2436	2.6	× 44 / 300	0.4
4	74,456	2458.6	− 2485	−26.4	× 50 / 300	−4.4
5	74,459	2483.0	− 2528	−45	× 55 / 300	−8.3
6	74,461	2545.7	− 2552	−6.3	× 58 / 300	−1.2
7	74,463	2546.3	− 2567	−20.7	× 63 / 300	−4.3
8	74,465	2598.7	− 2586	12.7	× 30 / 300	1.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,441	2428.1	− 2436	−7.9	× 54 / 328	−1.3
4	76,444	2483.9	− 2485	−1.1	× 50 / 328	−0.2
5	76,446	2473.5	− 2528	−54.5	× 52 / 328	−8.6
6	76,447	2561.5	− 2552	9.5	× 52 / 328	1.5
7	76,450	2552.5	− 2567	−14.5	× 62 / 328	−2.7
8	76,451	2560.4	− 2586	−25.6	× 58 / 328	−4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,624	2437.5	− 2436	1.5	× 27 / 305	0.1
4	76,627	2460.0	− 2485	−25	× 54 / 305	−4.4
5	76,628	2514.1	− 2528	−13.9	× 49 / 305	−2.2
6	76,631	2527.8	− 2552	−24.2	× 51 / 305	−4
7	76,632	2584.2	− 2567	17.2	× 62 / 305	3.5
8	76,635	2580.5	− 2586	−5.5	× 62 / 305	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,131	2453.1	− 2436	17.1	× 49 / 293	2.9
4	77,132	2453.5	− 2485	−31.5	× 26 / 293	−2.8
5	77,133	2490.8	− 2528	−37.2	× 55 / 293	−7
6	77,134	2559.6	− 2552	7.6	× 50 / 293	1.3
7	77,135	2573.4	− 2567	6.4	× 54 / 293	1.2
8	77,136	2597.7	− 2586	11.7	× 59 / 293	2.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−2

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,664	2399.7	− 2436	−36.3	× 50 / 275	−6.6
4	75,665	2452.2	− 2485	−32.8	× 48 / 275	−5.7
5	75,666	2512.1	− 2528	−15.9	× 45 / 275	−2.6
6	75,667	2538.8	− 2552	−13.2	× 28 / 275	−1.3
7	75,668	2534.9	− 2567	−32.1	× 50 / 275	−5.8
8	75,669	2599.9	− 2586	13.9	× 54 / 275	2.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,283	2423.9	− 2436	−12.1	× 42 / 277	−1.8
4	77,284	2457.0	− 2485	−28	× 49 / 277	−5
5	77,285	2501.6	− 2528	−26.4	× 52 / 277	−5
6	77,286	2517.9	− 2552	−34.1	× 52 / 277	−6.4
7	77,287	2546.8	− 2567	−20.2	× 28 / 277	−2
8	77,288	2584.0	− 2586	−2	× 54 / 277	−0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−21

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,269	2409.1	− 2436	−26.9	× 45 / 278	−4.4
4	77,270	2482.4	− 2485	−2.6	× 51 / 278	−0.5
5	77,271	2524.7	− 2528	−3.3	× 50 / 278	−0.6
6	77,272	2500.0	− 2552	−52	× 48 / 278	−9
7	77,273	2591.6	− 2567	24.6	× 53 / 278	4.7
8	77,274	2573.6	− 2586	−12.4	× 31 / 278	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,269	2408.3	− 2436	−27.7	× 51 / 299	−4.7
4	77,270	2432.5	− 2485	−52.5	× 48 / 299	−8.4
5	77,271	2513.1	− 2528	−14.9	× 52 / 299	−2.6
6	77,272	2509.2	− 2552	−42.8	× 49 / 299	−7
7	77,273	2559.5	− 2567	−7.5	× 46 / 299	−1.2
8	77,274	2623.4	− 2586	37.4	× 53 / 299	6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,923	2433.8	− 2436	−2.2	× 50 / 306	−0.4
4	76,924	2463.8	− 2485	−21.2	× 54 / 306	−3.7
5	76,925	2503.7	− 2528	−24.3	× 50 / 306	−4
6	76,926	2537.8	− 2552	−14.2	× 53 / 306	−2.5
7	76,927	2574.1	− 2567	7.1	× 50 / 306	1.2
8	76,928	2614.0	− 2586	28	× 49 / 306	4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−5

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,821	2441.3	− 2436	5.3	× 45 / 303	0.8
4	76,822	2475.3	− 2485	−9.7	× 52 / 303	−1.7
5	76,823	2500.6	− 2528	−27.4	× 55 / 303	−5
6	76,824	2512.3	− 2552	−39.7	× 50 / 303	−6.6
7	76,825	2568.4	− 2567	1.4	× 51 / 303	0.2
8	76,826	2655.1	− 2586	69.1	× 50 / 303	11.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −29, −17, −16, −8, −2, −19, −21, −11, −17, −5, −1 → −13.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 12 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 8 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2021: 17 · 2021→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 10 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 12 · 2025→2026: 4 → average 7.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.8 × 2.66 = 20.7. Upper limit 7.4, lower limit −34.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.