New Hope Elementary: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,067	2422.7	− 2436	−13.3	× 19 / 134	−1.9
4	80,068	2425.9	− 2485	−59.1	× 25 / 134	−11
5	80,071	2462.2	− 2528	−65.8	× 20 / 134	−9.8
6	80,072	2506.6	− 2552	−45.4	× 22 / 134	−7.5
7	80,075	2459.4	− 2567	−107.6	× 25 / 134	−20.1
8	80,076	2474.1	− 2586	−111.9	× 23 / 134	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−69

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	74,176	2435.7	− 2436	−0.3	× 18 / 123	0
4	74,178	2429.1	− 2485	−55.9	× 16 / 123	−7.3
5	74,181	2452.9	− 2528	−75.1	× 22 / 123	−13.4
6	74,183	2462.7	− 2552	−89.3	× 22 / 123	−16
7	74,184	2518.5	− 2567	−48.5	× 21 / 123	−8.3
8	74,186	2473.4	− 2586	−112.6	× 24 / 123	−22
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,164	2390.0	− 2436	−46	× 22 / 123	−8.2
4	76,166	2456.4	− 2485	−28.6	× 17 / 123	−4
5	76,168	2419.5	− 2528	−108.5	× 21 / 123	−18.5
6	76,169	2481.0	− 2552	−71	× 24 / 123	−13.9
7	76,172	2502.2	− 2567	−64.8	× 19 / 123	−10
8	76,173	2505.5	− 2586	−80.5	× 20 / 123	−13.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,355	2413.6	− 2436	−22.4	× 28 / 129	−4.9
4	76,356	2420.0	− 2485	−65	× 26 / 129	−13.1
5	76,359	2441.7	− 2528	−86.3	× 17 / 129	−11.4
6	76,360	2478.1	− 2552	−73.9	× 18 / 129	−10.3
7	76,363	2501.5	− 2567	−65.5	× 22 / 129	−11.2
8	76,364	2542.8	− 2586	−43.2	× 18 / 129	−6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,879	2392.1	− 2436	−43.9	× 15 / 114	−5.8
4	76,880	2441.7	− 2485	−43.3	× 25 / 114	−9.5
5	76,881	2451.7	− 2528	−76.3	× 22 / 114	−14.7
6	76,882	2485.5	− 2552	−66.5	× 16 / 114	−9.3
7	76,883	2518.6	− 2567	−48.4	× 17 / 114	−7.2
8	76,884	2514.4	− 2586	−71.6	× 19 / 114	−11.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−58

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,428	2361.6	− 2436	−74.4	× 20 / 108	−13.8
4	75,429	2403.2	− 2485	−81.8	× 22 / 108	−16.7
5	75,430	2433.9	− 2528	−94.1	× 14 / 108	−12.2
6	75,431	2474.2	− 2552	−77.8	× 21 / 108	−15.1
7	75,432	2512.5	− 2567	−54.5	× 18 / 108	−9.1
8	75,433	2492.2	− 2586	−93.8	× 13 / 108	−11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,025	2391.5	− 2436	−44.5	× 21 / 120	−7.8
4	77,026	2411.5	− 2485	−73.5	× 21 / 120	−12.9
5	77,027	2411.2	− 2528	−116.8	× 21 / 120	−20.4
6	77,028	2497.7	− 2552	−54.3	× 17 / 120	−7.7
7	77,029	2532.6	− 2567	−34.4	× 22 / 120	−6.3
8	77,030	2538.1	− 2586	−47.9	× 18 / 120	−7.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,019	2397.4	− 2436	−38.6	× 18 / 117	−5.9
4	77,020	2428.3	− 2485	−56.7	× 18 / 117	−8.7
5	77,021	2408.1	− 2528	−119.9	× 21 / 117	−21.5
6	77,022	2458.8	− 2552	−93.2	× 23 / 117	−18.3
7	77,023	2559.9	− 2567	−7.1	× 15 / 117	−0.9
8	77,024	2534.6	− 2586	−51.4	× 22 / 117	−9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	77,019	2390.8	− 2436	−45.2	× 22 / 124	−8
4	77,020	2392.6	− 2485	−92.4	× 18 / 124	−13.4
5	77,021	2414.6	− 2528	−113.4	× 23 / 124	−21
6	77,022	2461.3	− 2552	−90.7	× 21 / 124	−15.4
7	77,023	2485.1	− 2567	−81.9	× 23 / 124	−15.2
8	77,024	2555.5	− 2586	−30.5	× 17 / 124	−4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−77

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,671	2382.9	− 2436	−53.1	× 13 / 112	−6.2
4	76,672	2430.6	− 2485	−54.4	× 18 / 112	−8.7
5	76,673	2388.0	− 2528	−140	× 17 / 112	−21.3
6	76,674	2452.2	− 2552	−99.8	× 20 / 112	−17.8
7	76,675	2481.2	− 2567	−85.8	× 20 / 112	−15.3
8	76,676	2501.5	− 2586	−84.5	× 24 / 112	−18.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,577	2415.4	− 2436	−20.6	× 19 / 104	−3.8
4	76,578	2408.3	− 2485	−76.7	× 16 / 104	−11.8
5	76,579	2440.1	− 2528	−87.9	× 17 / 104	−14.4
6	76,580	2454.8	− 2552	−97.2	× 22 / 104	−20.6
7	76,581	2485.2	− 2567	−81.8	× 14 / 104	−11
8	76,582	2525.6	− 2586	−60.4	× 16 / 104	−9.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −69, −67, −68, −57, −58, −78, −62, −65, −77, −87, −71 → −69
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 2 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 11 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2021: 20 · 2021→2022: 16 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 12 · 2024→2025: 10 · 2025→2026: 16 → average 9.2
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.2 × 2.66 = 24.5. Upper limit −44.5, lower limit −93.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Schools in New Hope Elementary

K–8 schools

New Hope Elementary