Allen (Ella B.) Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader meets the grade 3 bar. 2470 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2509 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader meets the grade 5 bar. 2535 vs. 2528.
6th The average 6th grader meets the grade 6 bar. 2563 vs. 2552.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,577	2454.8	− 2436	18.8	× 59 / 233	4.8
4	70,579	2469.7	− 2485	−15.3	× 55 / 233	−3.6
5	70,581	2519.8	− 2528	−8.2	× 59 / 233	−2.1
6	70,583	2577.5	− 2552	25.5	× 60 / 233	6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	65,406	2459.6	− 2436	23.6	× 58 / 238	5.8
4	65,408	2479.4	− 2485	−5.6	× 62 / 238	−1.5
5	65,409	2499.5	− 2528	−28.5	× 57 / 238	−6.8
6	65,412	2592.1	− 2552	40.1	× 61 / 238	10.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						8

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,222	2474.8	− 2436	38.8	× 48 / 230	8.1
4	67,223	2460.9	− 2485	−24.1	× 61 / 230	−6.4
5	67,226	2515.2	− 2528	−12.8	× 61 / 230	−3.4
6	67,227	2564.1	− 2552	12.1	× 60 / 230	3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,327	2435.4	− 2436	−0.6	× 52 / 221	−0.1
4	67,330	2498.5	− 2485	13.5	× 46 / 221	2.8
5	67,331	2461.2	− 2528	−66.8	× 61 / 221	−18.4
6	67,334	2575.6	− 2552	23.6	× 62 / 221	6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,843	2488.5	− 2436	52.5	× 63 / 219	15.1
4	67,844	2490.4	− 2485	5.4	× 52 / 219	1.3
5	67,845	2521.9	− 2528	−6.1	× 47 / 219	−1.3
6	67,846	2548.3	− 2552	−3.7	× 57 / 219	−1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						14

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,971	2454.8	− 2436	18.8	× 43 / 210	3.8
4	67,972	2499.5	− 2485	14.5	× 50 / 210	3.5
5	67,973	2519.5	− 2528	−8.5	× 54 / 210	−2.2
6	67,974	2595.4	− 2552	43.4	× 63 / 210	13
Sum, rounded to a whole point						18

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,989	2443.3	− 2436	7.3	× 60 / 218	2
4	67,990	2482.1	− 2485	−2.9	× 51 / 218	−0.7
5	67,991	2529.3	− 2528	1.3	× 52 / 218	0.3
6	67,992	2552.3	− 2552	0.3	× 55 / 218	0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,983	2426.3	− 2436	−9.7	× 67 / 240	−2.7
4	67,984	2500.3	− 2485	15.3	× 64 / 240	4.1
5	67,985	2508.9	− 2528	−19.1	× 52 / 240	−4.1
6	67,986	2543.3	− 2552	−8.7	× 57 / 240	−2.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−5

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,751	2456.0	− 2436	20	× 47 / 240	3.9
4	67,752	2488.1	− 2485	3.1	× 65 / 240	0.8
5	67,753	2540.6	− 2528	12.6	× 70 / 240	3.7
6	67,754	2555.3	− 2552	3.3	× 58 / 240	0.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						9

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,798	2470.0	− 2436	34	× 64 / 244	8.9
4	67,799	2509.0	− 2485	24	× 45 / 244	4.4
5	67,800	2534.8	− 2528	6.8	× 64 / 244	1.8
6	67,801	2563.2	− 2552	11.2	× 71 / 244	3.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						18

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 6, 8, 1, −9, 14, 18, 2, −5, 9, 18 → 6.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 2 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 10 · 2018→2019: 23 · 2019→2022: 4 · 2022→2023: 16 · 2023→2024: 7 · 2024→2025: 14 · 2025→2026: 9 → average 10.2
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.2 × 2.66 = 27.1. Upper limit 33.3, lower limit −20.9.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.