Lincoln Fundamental Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

All students

3rd The average 3rd grader meets the grade 3 bar. 2444 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores just under the grade 4 bar. 2484 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 15 points under the grade 5 bar. 2513 vs. 2528.
6th The average 6th grader meets the grade 6 bar. 2594 vs. 2552.

Students fluent in English

Math with English out of the way. Includes students who have only ever spoken English.

Grade bars 3rd 89 students Meets the grade 3 bar. 4th 70 students Meets the grade 4 bar. 5th 105 students Just under the grade 5 bar.

English learners

Students leave this group as they become fluent, so its average stays low even where they learn well.

Grade bars 3rd 18 students 44 points under the grade 3 bar. 4th 16 students Just under the grade 3 bar. 5th 13 students 42 points under the grade 4 bar.

the group's average that grade's own bar the distance between

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade. The state leaves out any group of ten students or fewer, so a grade may be missing from the charts.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	55,891	2460.1	− 2436	24.1	× 141 / 570	6
4	55,893	2486.9	− 2485	1.9	× 145 / 570	0.5
5	55,895	2542.7	− 2528	14.7	× 142 / 570	3.7
6	55,897	2546.5	− 2552	−5.5	× 142 / 570	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						9

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	51,889	2465.8	− 2436	29.8	× 131 / 542	7.2
4	51,892	2516.3	− 2485	31.3	× 143 / 542	8.3
5	51,894	2551.1	− 2528	23.1	× 145 / 542	6.2
6	51,895	2556.9	− 2552	4.9	× 123 / 542	1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						23

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,413	2471.2	− 2436	35.2	× 125 / 529	8.3
4	53,415	2522.5	− 2485	37.5	× 123 / 529	8.7
5	53,417	2563.4	− 2528	35.4	× 145 / 529	9.7
6	53,418	2568.7	− 2552	16.7	× 136 / 529	4.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						31

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,501	2483.8	− 2436	47.8	× 112 / 492	10.9
4	53,503	2529.4	− 2485	44.4	× 121 / 492	10.9
5	53,505	2570.0	− 2528	42	× 118 / 492	10.1
6	53,507	2588.3	− 2552	36.3	× 141 / 492	10.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						42

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,737	2488.7	− 2436	52.7	× 105 / 461	12
4	53,738	2529.6	− 2485	44.6	× 115 / 461	11.1
5	53,739	2580.9	− 2528	52.9	× 127 / 461	14.6
6	53,740	2589.5	− 2552	37.5	× 114 / 461	9.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						47

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,793	2442.3	− 2436	6.3	× 97 / 387	1.6
4	53,794	2517.0	− 2485	32	× 100 / 387	8.3
5	53,795	2537.6	− 2528	9.6	× 105 / 387	2.6
6	53,796	2568.5	− 2552	16.5	× 85 / 387	3.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						16

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,744	2459.7	− 2436	23.7	× 101 / 387	6.2
4	53,745	2486.7	− 2485	1.7	× 96 / 387	0.4
5	53,746	2528.2	− 2528	0.2	× 98 / 387	0.1
6	53,747	2555.4	− 2552	3.4	× 92 / 387	0.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,602	2439.6	− 2436	3.6	× 100 / 383	0.9
4	53,603	2496.2	− 2485	11.2	× 94 / 383	2.7
5	53,604	2476.2	− 2528	−51.8	× 96 / 383	−13
6	53,605	2556.7	− 2552	4.7	× 93 / 383	1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,340	2430.7	− 2436	−5.3	× 79 / 409	−1
4	53,341	2506.0	− 2485	21	× 114 / 409	5.9
5	53,342	2519.1	− 2528	−8.9	× 105 / 409	−2.3
6	53,343	2550.8	− 2552	−1.2	× 111 / 409	−0.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	53,273	2444.3	− 2436	8.3	× 107 / 418	2.1
4	53,274	2483.9	− 2485	−1.1	× 86 / 418	−0.2
5	53,275	2513.3	− 2528	−14.7	× 118 / 418	−4.1
6	53,276	2593.7	− 2552	41.7	× 107 / 418	10.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						8

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 9, 23, 31, 42, 47, 16, 7, −8, 2, 8 → 17.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 14 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 11 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 31 · 2022→2023: 9 · 2023→2024: 15 · 2024→2025: 10 · 2025→2026: 6 → average 12.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.1 × 2.66 = 32.2. Upper limit 49.9, lower limit −14.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.