San Ardo Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade 4 bar

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

Many students here are still learning English. The math test is written in English, with some translation help, and many of its questions are word problems. In 2026, 22 of the 12 students who took the math test were English learners.

5th The average 5th grader scores 28 points under the grade 4 bar. 2457 vs. 2485. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
4	46,289	2418.2	− 2485	−66.8	× 11 / 35	−21
5	46,292	2460.0	− 2528	−68	× 12 / 35	−23.3
7	46,296	2491.8	− 2567	−75.2	× 12 / 35	−25.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−70

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,993	2324.5	− 2436	−111.5	× 12 / 50	−26.8
4	42,996	2368.4	− 2485	−116.6	× 12 / 50	−28
6	43,000	2478.4	− 2552	−73.6	× 14 / 50	−20.6
8	43,004	2512.3	− 2586	−73.7	× 12 / 50	−17.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−93

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
4	44,066	2342.1	− 2485	−142.9	× 11 / 24	−65.5
7	44,073	2445.2	− 2567	−121.8	× 13 / 24	−66
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−131

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
4	44,084	2408.7	− 2485	−76.3	× 11 / 48	−17.5
5	44,085	2455.0	− 2528	−73	× 13 / 48	−19.8
6	44,088	2488.0	− 2552	−64	× 11 / 48	−14.7
8	44,092	2492.5	− 2586	−93.5	× 13 / 48	−25.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−77

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	44,215	2423.3	− 2528	−104.7	× 13 / 40	−34
6	44,216	2484.9	− 2552	−67.1	× 14 / 40	−23.5
7	44,217	2444.4	− 2567	−122.6	× 13 / 40	−39.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−97

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	43,975	2432.8	− 2528	−95.2	× 12 / 12	−95.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	43,964	2407.5	− 2552	−144.5	× 13 / 13	−144.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−145

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,787	2411.5	− 2436	−24.5	× 12 / 36	−8.2
5	43,789	2449.6	− 2528	−78.4	× 11 / 36	−24
7	43,791	2432.4	− 2567	−134.6	× 13 / 36	−48.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−81

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
4	43,537	2431.7	− 2485	−53.3	× 12 / 12	−53.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	43,424	2456.9	− 2528	−71.1	× 12 / 12	−71.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −70, −93, −131, −77, −97, −95, −145, −81, −53, −71 → −91.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 23 · 2016→2017: 38 · 2017→2018: 54 · 2018→2019: 20 · 2019→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 50 · 2023→2024: 64 · 2024→2025: 28 · 2025→2026: 18 → average 33
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 33 × 2.66 = 87.8. Upper limit −3.5, lower limit −179.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.