North Monterey County Unified: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	46,453	2359.1	− 2436	−76.9	× 366 / 2294	−12.3
4	46,456	2399.4	− 2485	−85.6	× 337 / 2294	−12.6
5	46,457	2435.2	− 2528	−92.8	× 358 / 2294	−14.5
6	46,460	2480.9	− 2552	−71.1	× 341 / 2294	−10.6
7	46,461	2472.2	− 2567	−94.8	× 302 / 2294	−12.5
8	46,464	2490.7	− 2586	−95.3	× 315 / 2294	−13.1
11	46,465	2506.2	− 2628	−121.8	× 275 / 2294	−14.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,168	2387.2	− 2436	−48.8	× 349 / 2336	−7.3
4	43,170	2405.9	− 2485	−79.1	× 354 / 2336	−12
5	43,172	2452.5	− 2528	−75.5	× 344 / 2336	−11.1
6	43,173	2461.7	− 2552	−90.3	× 346 / 2336	−13.4
7	43,175	2471.8	− 2567	−95.2	× 339 / 2336	−13.8
8	43,177	2487.7	− 2586	−98.3	× 302 / 2336	−12.7
11	43,180	2510.8	− 2628	−117.2	× 302 / 2336	−15.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−85

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,231	2382.4	− 2436	−53.6	× 342 / 2368	−7.7
4	44,233	2413.7	− 2485	−71.3	× 345 / 2368	−10.4
5	44,234	2446.6	− 2528	−81.4	× 355 / 2368	−12.2
6	44,237	2473.7	− 2552	−78.3	× 342 / 2368	−11.3
7	44,239	2466.9	− 2567	−100.1	× 336 / 2368	−14.2
8	44,240	2469.1	− 2586	−116.9	× 350 / 2368	−17.3
11	44,242	2521.2	− 2628	−106.8	× 298 / 2368	−13.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,251	2399.8	− 2436	−36.2	× 348 / 2404	−5.2
4	44,254	2417.7	− 2485	−67.3	× 340 / 2404	−9.5
5	44,255	2452.0	− 2528	−76	× 345 / 2404	−10.9
6	44,258	2459.3	− 2552	−92.7	× 355 / 2404	−13.7
7	44,259	2469.1	− 2567	−97.9	× 339 / 2404	−13.8
8	44,262	2468.4	− 2586	−117.6	× 341 / 2404	−16.7
11	44,263	2505.2	− 2628	−122.8	× 336 / 2404	−17.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,386	2398.0	− 2436	−38	× 348 / 2378	−5.6
4	44,387	2428.0	− 2485	−57	× 347 / 2378	−8.3
5	44,388	2459.1	− 2528	−68.9	× 346 / 2378	−10
6	44,389	2477.3	− 2552	−74.7	× 348 / 2378	−10.9
7	44,390	2463.2	− 2567	−103.8	× 332 / 2378	−14.5
8	44,391	2447.1	− 2586	−138.9	× 337 / 2378	−19.7
11	44,392	2490.9	− 2628	−137.1	× 320 / 2378	−18.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,140	2360.0	− 2436	−76	× 317 / 2313	−10.4
4	44,141	2391.0	− 2485	−94	× 356 / 2313	−14.5
5	44,142	2430.9	− 2528	−97.1	× 327 / 2313	−13.7
6	44,143	2436.9	− 2552	−115.1	× 328 / 2313	−16.3
7	44,144	2448.3	− 2567	−118.7	× 329 / 2313	−16.9
8	44,145	2436.2	− 2586	−149.8	× 322 / 2313	−20.9
11	44,146	2452.9	− 2628	−175.1	× 334 / 2313	−25.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−118

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,128	2386.4	− 2436	−49.6	× 306 / 2322	−6.5
4	44,129	2399.0	− 2485	−86	× 329 / 2322	−12.2
5	44,130	2416.9	− 2528	−111.1	× 347 / 2322	−16.6
6	44,131	2433.2	− 2552	−118.8	× 330 / 2322	−16.9
7	44,132	2452.1	− 2567	−114.9	× 324 / 2322	−16
8	44,133	2439.3	− 2586	−146.7	× 335 / 2322	−21.2
11	44,134	2477.5	− 2628	−150.5	× 351 / 2322	−22.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−112

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,954	2379.8	− 2436	−56.2	× 316 / 2223	−8
4	43,955	2426.8	− 2485	−58.2	× 301 / 2223	−7.9
5	43,956	2439.7	− 2528	−88.3	× 325 / 2223	−12.9
6	43,957	2434.4	− 2552	−117.6	× 320 / 2223	−16.9
7	43,958	2434.6	− 2567	−132.4	× 312 / 2223	−18.6
8	43,959	2441.3	− 2586	−144.7	× 323 / 2223	−21
11	43,960	2482.2	− 2628	−145.8	× 326 / 2223	−21.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−107

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,703	2383.1	− 2436	−52.9	× 304 / 2163	−7.4
4	43,704	2416.1	− 2485	−68.9	× 308 / 2163	−9.8
5	43,705	2470.9	− 2528	−57.1	× 309 / 2163	−8.2
6	43,706	2453.4	− 2552	−98.6	× 318 / 2163	−14.5
7	43,707	2444.4	− 2567	−122.6	× 304 / 2163	−17.2
8	43,708	2435.8	− 2586	−150.2	× 319 / 2163	−22.2
11	43,709	2484.3	− 2628	−143.7	× 301 / 2163	−20
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−99

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,589	2388.9	− 2436	−47.1	× 319 / 2123	−7.1
4	43,590	2419.2	− 2485	−65.8	× 299 / 2123	−9.3
5	43,591	2460.3	− 2528	−67.7	× 298 / 2123	−9.5
6	43,592	2471.5	− 2552	−80.5	× 307 / 2123	−11.6
7	43,593	2463.0	− 2567	−104	× 296 / 2123	−14.5
8	43,594	2451.9	− 2586	−134.1	× 296 / 2123	−18.7
11	43,595	2506.7	− 2628	−121.3	× 308 / 2123	−17.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−88

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −90, −85, −87, −87, −87, −118, −112, −107, −99, −88 → −96
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 0 · 2018→2019: 0 · 2019→2022: 31 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 8 · 2025→2026: 11 → average 7.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.6 × 2.66 = 20.2. Upper limit −75.8, lower limit −116.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

North Monterey County Unified