Kennedy (John F.) Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2431 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2515 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2525 vs. 2528.
6th The average 6th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2524 vs. 2528. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	20,488	2415.8	− 2436	−20.2	× 63 / 258	−4.9
4	20,490	2458.9	− 2485	−26.1	× 67 / 258	−6.8
5	20,492	2499.4	− 2528	−28.6	× 67 / 258	−7.4
6	20,494	2542.2	− 2552	−9.8	× 61 / 258	−2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−21

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,446	2442.3	− 2436	6.3	× 78 / 267	1.8
4	19,448	2470.1	− 2485	−14.9	× 65 / 267	−3.6
5	19,450	2513.9	− 2528	−14.1	× 60 / 267	−3.2
6	19,453	2572.6	− 2552	20.6	× 64 / 267	4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						0

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,741	2436.3	− 2436	0.3	× 54 / 247	0.1
4	19,743	2487.6	− 2485	2.6	× 72 / 247	0.8
5	19,744	2470.3	− 2528	−57.7	× 57 / 247	−13.3
6	19,747	2540.0	− 2552	−12	× 64 / 247	−3.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,740	2470.6	− 2436	34.6	× 52 / 225	8
4	19,742	2466.4	− 2485	−18.6	× 48 / 225	−4
5	19,744	2479.4	− 2528	−48.6	× 63 / 225	−13.6
6	19,746	2499.9	− 2552	−52.1	× 62 / 225	−14.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,924	2477.3	− 2436	41.3	× 71 / 239	12.3
4	19,925	2485.5	− 2485	0.5	× 57 / 239	0.1
5	19,926	2479.8	− 2528	−48.2	× 47 / 239	−9.5
6	19,927	2540.9	− 2552	−11.1	× 64 / 239	−3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						0

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	19,408	2556.2	− 2552	4.2	× 17 / 17	4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						4

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,947	2438.2	− 2436	2.2	× 49 / 238	0.5
4	19,948	2436.0	− 2485	−49	× 65 / 238	−13.4
5	19,949	2480.9	− 2528	−47.1	× 59 / 238	−11.7
6	19,950	2513.6	− 2552	−38.4	× 65 / 238	−10.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,922	2442.8	− 2436	6.8	× 49 / 218	1.5
4	19,923	2489.6	− 2485	4.6	× 49 / 218	1
5	19,924	2504.6	− 2528	−23.4	× 64 / 218	−6.9
6	19,925	2477.2	− 2552	−74.8	× 56 / 218	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,858	2452.3	− 2436	16.3	× 44 / 207	3.5
4	19,859	2468.5	− 2485	−16.5	× 51 / 207	−4.1
5	19,860	2510.1	− 2528	−17.9	× 49 / 207	−4.2
6	19,861	2480.3	− 2552	−71.7	× 63 / 207	−21.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,795	2462.8	− 2436	26.8	× 45 / 202	6
4	19,796	2499.0	− 2485	14	× 51 / 202	3.5
5	19,797	2517.1	− 2528	−10.9	× 55 / 202	−3
6	19,798	2530.2	− 2552	−21.8	× 51 / 202	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,867	2431.1	− 2436	−4.9	× 55 / 214	−1.3
4	19,868	2515.4	− 2485	30.4	× 47 / 214	6.7
5	19,869	2524.8	− 2528	−3.2	× 52 / 214	−0.8
6	19,870	2523.9	− 2552	−28.1	× 60 / 214	−7.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −21, 0, −16, −24, 0, 4, −35, −24, −27, 1, −3 → −13.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 21 · 2016→2017: 16 · 2017→2018: 8 · 2018→2019: 24 · 2019→2021: 4 · 2021→2022: 39 · 2022→2023: 11 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 28 · 2025→2026: 4 → average 15.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 15.8 × 2.66 = 42. Upper limit 28.8, lower limit −55.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.