Minnie Cannon Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade 3 bar

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader meets the grade 3 bar. 2457 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 31 points under the grade 3 bar. 2405 vs. 2436. The 4th-grade bar is 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2436 vs. 2436. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,603	2389.7	− 2436	−46.3	× 24 / 108	−10.3
4	19,606	2430.7	− 2485	−54.3	× 31 / 108	−15.6
5	19,607	2439.9	− 2528	−88.1	× 25 / 108	−20.4
6	19,609	2486.6	− 2552	−65.4	× 28 / 108	−17
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−63

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,617	2401.1	− 2436	−34.9	× 17 / 102	−5.8
4	18,620	2443.4	− 2485	−41.6	× 25 / 102	−10.2
5	18,621	2442.2	− 2528	−85.8	× 31 / 102	−26.1
6	18,623	2503.0	− 2552	−49	× 29 / 102	−13.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−56

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,950	2394.3	− 2436	−41.7	× 25 / 103	−10.1
4	18,953	2448.6	− 2485	−36.4	× 22 / 103	−7.8
5	18,954	2443.5	− 2528	−84.5	× 25 / 103	−20.5
6	18,957	2506.2	− 2552	−45.8	× 31 / 103	−13.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,960	2393.1	− 2436	−42.9	× 23 / 101	−9.8
4	18,963	2454.1	− 2485	−30.9	× 26 / 101	−8
5	18,964	2450.1	− 2528	−77.9	× 23 / 101	−17.7
6	18,967	2485.7	− 2552	−66.3	× 29 / 101	−19
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,116	2408.9	− 2436	−27.1	× 28 / 117	−6.5
4	19,117	2469.2	− 2485	−15.8	× 30 / 117	−4.1
5	19,118	2467.4	− 2528	−60.6	× 29 / 117	−15
6	19,119	2510.0	− 2552	−42	× 30 / 117	−10.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,645	2394.3	− 2436	−41.7	× 20 / 97	−8.6
4	18,646	2410.2	− 2485	−74.8	× 19 / 97	−14.7
5	18,647	2449.3	− 2528	−78.7	× 27 / 97	−21.9
6	18,648	2492.0	− 2552	−60	× 31 / 97	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,171	2392.9	− 2436	−43.1	× 25 / 94	−11.5
4	19,172	2417.3	− 2485	−67.7	× 18 / 94	−13
5	19,173	2465.5	− 2528	−62.5	× 22 / 94	−14.6
6	19,174	2468.1	− 2552	−83.9	× 29 / 94	−25.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,116	2387.6	− 2436	−48.4	× 34 / 117	−14.1
4	19,117	2401.7	− 2485	−83.3	× 29 / 117	−20.6
5	19,118	2419.9	− 2528	−108.1	× 27 / 117	−24.9
6	19,119	2454.9	− 2552	−97.1	× 27 / 117	−22.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−82

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,062	2363.2	− 2436	−72.8	× 22 / 118	−13.6
4	19,063	2412.9	− 2485	−72.1	× 37 / 118	−22.6
5	19,064	2477.4	− 2528	−50.6	× 30 / 118	−12.9
6	19,065	2436.2	− 2552	−115.8	× 29 / 118	−28.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,050	2424.0	− 2436	−12	× 26 / 82	−3.8
4	19,051	2390.1	− 2485	−94.9	× 24 / 82	−27.8
5	19,052	2448.0	− 2528	−80	× 32 / 82	−31.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−63

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,071	2456.6	− 2436	20.6	× 23 / 73	6.5
4	19,072	2405.3	− 2485	−79.7	× 27 / 73	−29.5
5	19,073	2435.7	− 2528	−92.3	× 23 / 73	−29.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −63, −56, −52, −55, −36, −64, −65, −82, −78, −63, −52 → −60.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 3 · 2018→2019: 19 · 2019→2021: 28 · 2021→2022: 1 · 2022→2023: 17 · 2023→2024: 4 · 2024→2025: 15 · 2025→2026: 11 → average 10.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.9 × 2.66 = 29. Upper limit −31.5, lower limit −89.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.