Kerman Unified: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	12,523	2399.3	− 2436	−36.7	× 408 / 2621	−5.7
4	12,526	2431.1	− 2485	−53.9	× 393 / 2621	−8.1
5	12,527	2447.9	− 2528	−80.1	× 398 / 2621	−12.2
6	12,530	2477.2	− 2552	−74.8	× 380 / 2621	−10.8
7	12,531	2504.4	− 2567	−62.6	× 329 / 2621	−7.9
8	12,534	2514.2	− 2586	−71.8	× 393 / 2621	−10.8
11	12,535	2531.7	− 2628	−96.3	× 320 / 2621	−11.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,547	2407.2	− 2436	−28.8	× 372 / 2625	−4.1
4	11,549	2457.6	− 2485	−27.4	× 403 / 2625	−4.2
5	11,551	2456.4	− 2528	−71.6	× 399 / 2625	−10.9
6	11,552	2495.7	− 2552	−56.3	× 395 / 2625	−8.5
7	11,555	2498.1	− 2567	−68.9	× 387 / 2625	−10.2
8	11,556	2515.9	− 2586	−70.1	× 333 / 2625	−8.9
11	11,559	2533.6	− 2628	−94.4	× 336 / 2625	−12.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−59

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,878	2412.3	− 2436	−23.7	× 395 / 2718	−3.4
4	11,880	2464.3	− 2485	−20.7	× 370 / 2718	−2.8
5	11,883	2478.5	− 2528	−49.5	× 401 / 2718	−7.3
6	11,885	2507.8	− 2552	−44.2	× 410 / 2718	−6.7
7	11,887	2503.4	− 2567	−63.6	× 406 / 2718	−9.5
8	11,889	2507.0	− 2586	−79	× 385 / 2718	−11.2
11	11,890	2515.2	− 2628	−112.8	× 351 / 2718	−14.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,914	2420.3	− 2436	−15.7	× 391 / 2773	−2.2
4	11,916	2466.6	− 2485	−18.4	× 386 / 2773	−2.6
5	11,918	2487.1	− 2528	−40.9	× 370 / 2773	−5.5
6	11,920	2520.8	− 2552	−31.2	× 394 / 2773	−4.4
7	11,922	2491.1	− 2567	−75.9	× 427 / 2773	−11.7
8	11,924	2510.2	− 2586	−75.8	× 407 / 2773	−11.1
11	11,926	2535.2	− 2628	−92.8	× 398 / 2773	−13.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	12,010	2428.3	− 2436	−7.7	× 368 / 2697	−1.1
4	12,011	2472.0	− 2485	−13	× 407 / 2697	−2
5	12,012	2493.6	− 2528	−34.4	× 392 / 2697	−5
6	12,013	2521.4	− 2552	−30.6	× 375 / 2697	−4.3
7	12,014	2506.4	− 2567	−60.6	× 397 / 2697	−8.9
8	12,015	2508.1	− 2586	−77.9	× 413 / 2697	−11.9
11	12,016	2535.2	− 2628	−92.8	× 345 / 2697	−11.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,840	2382.6	− 2436	−53.4	× 350 / 2654	−7
4	11,841	2421.1	− 2485	−63.9	× 371 / 2654	−8.9
5	11,842	2460.0	− 2528	−68	× 373 / 2654	−9.6
6	11,843	2484.8	− 2552	−67.2	× 406 / 2654	−10.3
7	11,844	2489.2	− 2567	−77.8	× 389 / 2654	−11.4
8	11,845	2480.1	− 2586	−105.9	× 373 / 2654	−14.9
11	11,846	2518.7	− 2628	−109.3	× 392 / 2654	−16.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	12,001	2401.7	− 2436	−34.3	× 401 / 2733	−5
4	12,002	2444.7	− 2485	−40.3	× 369 / 2733	−5.4
5	12,003	2450.0	− 2528	−78	× 375 / 2733	−10.7
6	12,004	2499.1	− 2552	−52.9	× 379 / 2733	−7.3
7	12,005	2488.9	− 2567	−78.1	× 406 / 2733	−11.6
8	12,006	2481.0	− 2586	−105	× 386 / 2733	−14.8
11	12,007	2493.2	− 2628	−134.8	× 417 / 2733	−20.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−76

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,984	2416.4	− 2436	−19.6	× 380 / 2763	−2.7
4	11,985	2437.3	− 2485	−47.7	× 412 / 2763	−7.1
5	11,986	2462.0	− 2528	−66	× 374 / 2763	−8.9
6	11,987	2479.7	− 2552	−72.3	× 388 / 2763	−10.2
7	11,988	2507.2	− 2567	−59.8	× 393 / 2763	−8.5
8	11,989	2476.5	− 2586	−109.5	× 395 / 2763	−15.7
11	11,990	2504.2	− 2628	−123.8	× 421 / 2763	−18.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,947	2411.9	− 2436	−24.1	× 391 / 2765	−3.4
4	11,948	2450.1	− 2485	−34.9	× 375 / 2765	−4.7
5	11,949	2460.7	− 2528	−67.3	× 416 / 2765	−10.1
6	11,950	2488.1	− 2552	−63.9	× 382 / 2765	−8.8
7	11,951	2503.0	− 2567	−64	× 396 / 2765	−9.2
8	11,952	2485.8	− 2586	−100.2	× 410 / 2765	−14.9
11	11,953	2499.2	− 2628	−128.8	× 395 / 2765	−18.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−70

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,890	2417.8	− 2436	−18.2	× 363 / 2768	−2.4
4	11,891	2460.8	− 2485	−24.2	× 386 / 2768	−3.4
5	11,892	2471.1	− 2528	−56.9	× 393 / 2768	−8.1
6	11,893	2486.4	− 2552	−65.6	× 424 / 2768	−10
7	11,894	2506.4	− 2567	−60.6	× 395 / 2768	−8.6
8	11,895	2487.9	− 2586	−98.1	× 397 / 2768	−14.1
11	11,896	2526.6	− 2628	−101.4	× 410 / 2768	−15
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	11,920	2428.1	− 2436	−7.9	× 352 / 2694	−1
4	11,921	2462.9	− 2485	−22.1	× 362 / 2694	−3
5	11,922	2478.3	− 2528	−49.7	× 394 / 2694	−7.3
6	11,923	2505.9	− 2552	−46.1	× 387 / 2694	−6.6
7	11,924	2496.3	− 2567	−70.7	× 428 / 2694	−11.2
8	11,925	2476.1	− 2586	−109.9	× 384 / 2694	−15.7
11	11,926	2525.2	− 2628	−102.8	× 387 / 2694	−14.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −67, −59, −55, −51, −45, −78, −76, −72, −70, −62, −60 → −63.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 8 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2021: 33 · 2021→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 2 · 2024→2025: 8 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 7.3
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.3 × 2.66 = 19.4. Upper limit −43.8, lower limit −82.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Kerman Unified