Aspen Valley Prep Academy: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 38 points under the grade 3 bar. 2398 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 12 points under the grade 3 bar. 2424 vs. 2436. The 4th-grade bar is 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 29 points under the grade 4 bar. 2456 vs. 2485. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.
6th The average 6th grader scores 36 points under the grade 5 bar. 2492 vs. 2528. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	10,325	2394.8	− 2436	−41.2	× 48 / 192	−10.3
4	10,326	2461.1	− 2485	−23.9	× 45 / 192	−5.6
5	10,328	2467.2	− 2528	−60.8	× 22 / 192	−7
6	10,330	2493.1	− 2552	−58.9	× 26 / 192	−8
7	10,332	2523.9	− 2567	−43.1	× 28 / 192	−6.3
8	10,334	2570.2	− 2586	−15.8	× 23 / 192	−1.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−39

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,357	2448.3	− 2436	12.3	× 48 / 202	2.9
4	9,358	2453.1	− 2485	−31.9	× 46 / 202	−7.3
5	9,360	2472.0	− 2528	−56	× 38 / 202	−10.5
6	9,362	2458.1	− 2552	−93.9	× 21 / 202	−9.8
7	9,364	2504.2	− 2567	−62.8	× 23 / 202	−7.2
8	9,367	2475.7	− 2586	−110.3	× 26 / 202	−14.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−46

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,679	2423.8	− 2436	−12.2	× 44 / 216	−2.5
4	9,680	2460.7	− 2485	−24.3	× 50 / 216	−5.6
5	9,683	2460.0	− 2528	−68	× 45 / 216	−14.2
6	9,684	2493.0	− 2552	−59	× 35 / 216	−9.6
7	9,687	2533.1	− 2567	−33.9	× 20 / 216	−3.1
8	9,689	2533.6	− 2586	−52.4	× 22 / 216	−5.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,687	2415.7	− 2436	−20.3	× 48 / 238	−4.1
4	9,689	2445.0	− 2485	−40	× 47 / 238	−7.9
5	9,691	2494.7	− 2528	−33.3	× 47 / 238	−6.6
6	9,693	2487.0	− 2552	−65	× 44 / 238	−12
7	9,695	2484.3	− 2567	−82.7	× 33 / 238	−11.5
8	9,697	2544.3	− 2586	−41.7	× 19 / 238	−3.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,779	2394.4	− 2436	−41.6	× 50 / 259	−8
4	9,780	2415.8	− 2485	−69.2	× 49 / 259	−13.1
5	9,781	2461.9	− 2528	−66.1	× 50 / 259	−12.8
6	9,782	2505.6	− 2552	−46.4	× 36 / 259	−6.4
7	9,783	2523.1	− 2567	−43.9	× 45 / 259	−7.6
8	9,784	2547.0	− 2586	−39	× 29 / 259	−4.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,611	2378.6	− 2436	−57.4	× 52 / 211	−14.1
4	9,612	2413.1	− 2485	−71.9	× 41 / 211	−14
5	9,613	2437.0	− 2528	−91	× 36 / 211	−15.5
6	9,614	2478.6	− 2552	−73.4	× 35 / 211	−12.2
7	9,615	2487.3	− 2567	−79.7	× 22 / 211	−8.3
8	9,616	2500.0	− 2586	−86	× 25 / 211	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,732	2420.5	− 2436	−15.5	× 42 / 155	−4.2
4	9,733	2484.4	− 2485	−0.6	× 42 / 155	−0.2
5	9,734	2453.5	− 2528	−74.5	× 38 / 155	−18.3
6	9,735	2494.7	− 2552	−57.3	× 33 / 155	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,708	2407.1	− 2436	−28.9	× 43 / 176	−7.1
4	9,709	2465.9	− 2485	−19.1	× 42 / 176	−4.6
5	9,710	2466.2	− 2528	−61.8	× 49 / 176	−17.2
6	9,711	2493.3	− 2552	−58.7	× 42 / 176	−14
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,666	2390.0	− 2436	−46	× 42 / 172	−11.2
4	9,667	2425.6	− 2485	−59.4	× 44 / 172	−15.2
5	9,668	2471.0	− 2528	−57	× 42 / 172	−13.9
6	9,669	2515.1	− 2552	−36.9	× 44 / 172	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,641	2421.2	− 2436	−14.8	× 46 / 176	−3.9
4	9,642	2400.2	− 2485	−84.8	× 47 / 176	−22.6
5	9,643	2441.3	− 2528	−86.7	× 40 / 176	−19.7
6	9,644	2515.7	− 2552	−36.3	× 43 / 176	−8.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	9,667	2397.7	− 2436	−38.3	× 36 / 164	−8.4
4	9,668	2424.1	− 2485	−60.9	× 48 / 164	−17.8
5	9,669	2455.9	− 2528	−72.1	× 49 / 164	−21.5
6	9,670	2491.7	− 2552	−60.3	× 31 / 164	−11.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−59

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −39, −46, −40, −45, −52, −74, −35, −43, −50, −55, −59 → −48.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 5 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2021: 22 · 2021→2022: 39 · 2022→2023: 8 · 2023→2024: 7 · 2024→2025: 5 · 2025→2026: 4 → average 11
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11 × 2.66 = 29.3. Upper limit −19.6, lower limit −78.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.