Baldwin (Julia) Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader meets the grade 3 bar. 2435 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader scores 34 points under the grade 4 bar. 2439 vs. 2473.
5th The average 5th grader meets the grade 5 bar. 2518 vs. 2502.
6th The average 6th grader scores 21 points under the grade 6 bar. 2511 vs. 2531.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	88,415	2428.9	− 2432	−3.1	× 58 / 203	−0.9
4	88,418	2438.6	− 2473	−34.4	× 44 / 203	−7.5
5	88,419	2491.5	− 2502	−10.5	× 50 / 203	−2.6
6	88,421	2499.5	− 2531	−31.5	× 51 / 203	−7.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	82,088	2388.1	− 2432	−43.9	× 48 / 211	−10
4	82,090	2448.9	− 2473	−24.1	× 65 / 211	−7.4
5	82,091	2481.4	− 2502	−20.6	× 48 / 211	−4.7
6	82,094	2513.1	− 2531	−17.9	× 50 / 211	−4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,373	2417.0	− 2432	−15	× 44 / 198	−3.3
4	84,376	2447.1	− 2473	−25.9	× 41 / 198	−5.4
5	84,378	2484.1	− 2502	−17.9	× 59 / 198	−5.3
6	84,379	2518.3	− 2531	−12.7	× 54 / 198	−3.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,592	2419.2	− 2432	−12.8	× 58 / 205	−3.6
4	84,594	2461.0	− 2473	−12	× 43 / 205	−2.5
5	84,596	2489.1	− 2502	−12.9	× 47 / 205	−3
6	84,598	2525.5	− 2531	−5.5	× 57 / 205	−1.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,183	2403.6	− 2432	−28.4	× 66 / 258	−7.3
4	85,184	2459.6	− 2473	−13.4	× 72 / 258	−3.7
5	85,185	2464.2	− 2502	−37.8	× 57 / 258	−8.4
6	85,186	2540.6	− 2531	9.6	× 63 / 258	2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,372	2418.8	− 2432	−13.2	× 63 / 230	−3.6
4	85,373	2454.5	− 2473	−18.5	× 47 / 230	−3.8
5	85,374	2480.6	− 2502	−21.4	× 56 / 230	−5.2
6	85,375	2511.8	− 2531	−19.2	× 64 / 230	−5.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,311	2413.4	− 2432	−18.6	× 63 / 234	−5
4	85,312	2461.1	− 2473	−11.9	× 65 / 234	−3.3
5	85,313	2463.0	− 2502	−39	× 47 / 234	−7.8
6	85,314	2495.3	− 2531	−35.7	× 59 / 234	−9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−25

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,300	2422.1	− 2432	−9.9	× 65 / 235	−2.7
4	85,301	2433.0	− 2473	−40	× 59 / 235	−10
5	85,302	2498.9	− 2502	−3.1	× 61 / 235	−0.8
6	85,303	2510.6	− 2531	−20.4	× 50 / 235	−4.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,988	2401.6	− 2432	−30.4	× 62 / 240	−7.9
4	84,989	2461.8	− 2473	−11.2	× 67 / 240	−3.1
5	84,990	2484.9	− 2502	−17.1	× 49 / 240	−3.5
6	84,991	2533.7	− 2531	2.7	× 62 / 240	0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−14

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,759	2434.6	− 2432	2.6	× 41 / 209	0.5
4	84,760	2438.9	− 2473	−34.1	× 60 / 209	−9.8
5	84,761	2518.0	− 2502	16	× 55 / 209	4.2
6	84,762	2510.5	− 2531	−20.5	× 53 / 209	−5.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −19, −26, −17, −11, −17, −18, −25, −18, −14, −10 → −17.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 6 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2022: 1 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 7 · 2024→2025: 4 · 2025→2026: 4 → average 5.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 5.7 × 2.66 = 15.2. Upper limit −2.3, lower limit −32.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.