Hope Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,970	2460.0	− 2432	28	× 136 / 573	6.6
4	84,971	2480.7	− 2473	7.7	× 145 / 573	1.9
5	84,974	2541.6	− 2502	39.6	× 152 / 573	10.5
6	84,975	2556.0	− 2531	25	× 140 / 573	6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						25

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,788	2454.6	− 2432	22.6	× 128 / 563	5.1
4	78,790	2513.8	− 2473	40.8	× 139 / 563	10.1
5	78,792	2548.4	− 2502	46.4	× 142 / 563	11.7
6	78,794	2585.0	− 2531	54	× 154 / 563	14.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						42

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,944	2470.3	− 2432	38.3	× 153 / 569	10.3
4	80,946	2489.8	− 2473	16.8	× 129 / 569	3.8
5	80,947	2551.4	− 2502	49.4	× 142 / 569	12.3
6	80,950	2565.5	− 2531	34.5	× 145 / 569	8.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						35

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,096	2477.7	− 2432	45.7	× 129 / 547	10.8
4	81,099	2503.5	− 2473	30.5	× 148 / 547	8.3
5	81,100	2531.9	− 2502	29.9	× 122 / 547	6.7
6	81,103	2567.4	− 2531	36.4	× 148 / 547	9.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						36

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,619	2483.3	− 2432	51.3	× 130 / 527	12.7
4	81,620	2528.3	− 2473	55.3	× 122 / 527	12.8
5	81,621	2547.6	− 2502	45.6	× 151 / 527	13.1
6	81,622	2560.0	− 2531	29	× 124 / 527	6.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						45

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,840	2482.7	− 2432	50.7	× 115 / 457	12.8
4	81,841	2514.2	− 2473	41.2	× 111 / 457	10
5	81,842	2540.6	− 2502	38.6	× 128 / 457	10.8
6	81,843	2569.9	− 2531	38.9	× 103 / 457	8.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						42

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,804	2472.1	− 2432	40.1	× 125 / 483	10.4
4	81,805	2515.3	− 2473	42.3	× 120 / 483	10.5
5	81,806	2548.4	− 2502	46.4	× 115 / 483	11
6	81,807	2567.2	− 2531	36.2	× 123 / 483	9.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						41

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,816	2462.0	− 2432	30	× 110 / 479	6.9
4	81,817	2524.0	− 2473	51	× 128 / 479	13.6
5	81,818	2551.6	− 2502	49.6	× 122 / 479	12.6
6	81,819	2583.2	− 2531	52.2	× 119 / 479	13
Sum, rounded to a whole point						46

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,484	2453.4	− 2432	21.4	× 117 / 473	5.3
4	81,485	2514.1	− 2473	41.1	× 110 / 473	9.6
5	81,486	2556.6	− 2502	54.6	× 129 / 473	14.9
6	81,487	2600.0	− 2531	69	× 117 / 473	17.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						47

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,408	2454.9	− 2432	22.9	× 111 / 468	5.4
4	81,409	2491.1	− 2473	18.1	× 126 / 468	4.9
5	81,410	2533.8	− 2502	31.8	× 113 / 468	7.7
6	81,411	2586.5	− 2531	55.5	× 118 / 468	14
Sum, rounded to a whole point						32

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 25, 42, 35, 36, 45, 42, 41, 46, 47, 32 → 39.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 17 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 1 · 2018→2019: 9 · 2019→2022: 3 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 1 · 2025→2026: 15 → average 6.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.6 × 2.66 = 17.6. Upper limit 56.7, lower limit 21.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Hope Elementary