Julian Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 14 points under the grade 3 bar. 2418 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2486 vs. 2473.
5th The average 5th grader scores 26 points under the grade 5 bar. 2476 vs. 2502.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,007	2373.7	− 2432	−58.3	× 33 / 103	−18.7
4	72,009	2457.7	− 2473	−15.3	× 39 / 103	−5.8
5	72,011	2455.3	− 2502	−46.7	× 31 / 103	−14.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−39

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	66,774	2416.0	− 2432	−16	× 31 / 105	−4.7
4	66,776	2440.8	− 2473	−32.2	× 33 / 105	−10.1
5	66,779	2476.9	− 2502	−25.1	× 41 / 105	−9.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−25

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,608	2343.3	− 2432	−88.7	× 31 / 102	−27
4	68,609	2463.4	− 2473	−9.6	× 37 / 102	−3.5
5	68,612	2445.5	− 2502	−56.5	× 34 / 102	−18.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,761	2355.4	− 2432	−76.6	× 32 / 101	−24.3
4	68,764	2431.3	− 2473	−41.7	× 32 / 101	−13.2
5	68,765	2505.5	− 2502	3.5	× 37 / 101	1.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,310	2441.3	− 2432	9.3	× 32 / 93	3.2
4	69,311	2406.5	− 2473	−66.5	× 27 / 93	−19.3
5	69,312	2482.2	− 2502	−19.8	× 34 / 93	−7.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,396	2364.7	− 2432	−67.3	× 26 / 83	−21.1
4	69,397	2417.0	− 2473	−56	× 30 / 83	−20.2
5	69,398	2475.1	− 2502	−26.9	× 27 / 83	−8.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,420	2425.7	− 2432	−6.3	× 30 / 82	−2.3
4	69,421	2419.0	− 2473	−54	× 27 / 82	−17.8
5	69,422	2471.3	− 2502	−30.7	× 25 / 82	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,402	2389.2	− 2432	−42.8	× 28 / 93	−12.9
4	69,403	2425.8	− 2473	−47.2	× 32 / 93	−16.2
5	69,404	2476.8	− 2502	−25.2	× 33 / 93	−8.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,168	2430.5	− 2432	−1.5	× 25 / 82	−0.5
4	69,169	2435.2	− 2473	−37.8	× 28 / 82	−12.9
5	69,170	2496.2	− 2502	−5.8	× 29 / 82	−2.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−15

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,201	2417.7	− 2432	−14.3	× 33 / 81	−5.8
4	69,202	2485.7	− 2473	12.7	× 21 / 81	3.3
5	69,203	2476.0	− 2502	−26	× 27 / 81	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −39, −25, −49, −36, −23, −50, −29, −38, −15, −11 → −31.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 14 · 2016→2017: 24 · 2017→2018: 13 · 2018→2019: 13 · 2019→2022: 27 · 2022→2023: 21 · 2023→2024: 9 · 2024→2025: 23 · 2025→2026: 4 → average 16.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 16.4 × 2.66 = 43.6. Upper limit 12.1, lower limit −75.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.