McKinley Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2424 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2491 vs. 2473.
5th The average 5th grader meets the grade 5 bar. 2502 vs. 2502.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,102	2414.3	− 2432	−17.7	× 79 / 205	−6.8
4	67,104	2426.0	− 2473	−47	× 68 / 205	−15.6
5	67,106	2509.9	− 2502	7.9	× 58 / 205	2.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−20

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	62,247	2394.6	− 2432	−37.4	× 59 / 203	−10.9
4	62,250	2463.5	− 2473	−9.5	× 70 / 203	−3.3
5	62,251	2469.9	− 2502	−32.1	× 74 / 203	−11.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,032	2424.5	− 2432	−7.5	× 82 / 211	−2.9
4	64,034	2440.7	− 2473	−32.3	× 55 / 211	−8.4
5	64,035	2528.1	− 2502	26.1	× 74 / 211	9.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−2

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,136	2446.9	− 2432	14.9	× 68 / 199	5.1
4	64,139	2448.0	− 2473	−25	× 79 / 199	−9.9
5	64,140	2487.0	− 2502	−15	× 52 / 199	−3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,500	2422.1	− 2432	−9.9	× 70 / 222	−3.1
4	64,501	2459.9	− 2473	−13.1	× 70 / 222	−4.1
5	64,502	2493.8	− 2502	−8.2	× 82 / 222	−3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,573	2410.2	− 2432	−21.8	× 61 / 182	−7.3
4	64,574	2434.9	− 2473	−38.1	× 62 / 182	−13
5	64,575	2483.5	− 2502	−18.5	× 59 / 182	−6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,558	2398.8	− 2432	−33.2	× 45 / 172	−8.7
4	64,559	2461.6	− 2473	−11.4	× 61 / 172	−4
5	64,560	2485.0	− 2502	−17	× 66 / 172	−6.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,530	2388.9	− 2432	−43.1	× 52 / 150	−14.9
4	64,531	2452.5	− 2473	−20.5	× 45 / 150	−6.2
5	64,532	2510.6	− 2502	8.6	× 53 / 150	3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,294	2408.7	− 2432	−23.3	× 50 / 140	−8.3
4	64,295	2467.0	− 2473	−6	× 47 / 140	−2
5	64,296	2524.3	− 2502	22.3	× 43 / 140	6.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,266	2424.0	− 2432	−8	× 43 / 150	−2.3
4	64,267	2491.4	− 2473	18.4	× 56 / 150	6.9
5	64,268	2502.4	− 2502	0.4	× 51 / 150	0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						5

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −20, −26, −2, −9, −10, −26, −19, −18, −3, 5 → −12.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 6 · 2016→2017: 24 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2022: 16 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 15 · 2025→2026: 8 → average 9.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.4 × 2.66 = 25. Upper limit 12.2, lower limit −37.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.