C. Roy Carmichael Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 41 points under the grade 3 bar. 2391 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader scores 10 points under the grade 3 bar. 2422 vs. 2432. The 4th-grade bar is 2473.
5th The average 5th grader scores 35 points under the grade 4 bar. 2438 vs. 2473. The 5th-grade bar is 2502.
6th The average 6th grader scores 12 points under the grade 5 bar. 2491 vs. 2502. The 6th-grade bar is 2531.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	55,039	2401.3	− 2432	−30.7	× 51 / 178	−8.8
4	55,040	2455.9	− 2473	−17.1	× 44 / 178	−4.2
5	55,043	2500.7	− 2502	−1.3	× 43 / 178	−0.3
6	55,044	2524.1	− 2531	−6.9	× 40 / 178	−1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−15

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	51,132	2394.1	− 2432	−37.9	× 53 / 191	−10.5
4	51,134	2434.9	− 2473	−38.1	× 47 / 191	−9.4
5	51,136	2484.0	− 2502	−18	× 41 / 191	−3.9
6	51,137	2516.5	− 2531	−14.5	× 50 / 191	−3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,587	2384.7	− 2432	−47.3	× 56 / 211	−12.6
4	52,589	2424.7	− 2473	−48.3	× 57 / 211	−13
5	52,591	2455.7	− 2502	−46.3	× 48 / 211	−10.5
6	52,593	2537.3	− 2531	6.3	× 50 / 211	1.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,660	2389.1	− 2432	−42.9	× 47 / 200	−10.1
4	52,661	2422.2	− 2473	−50.8	× 56 / 200	−14.2
5	52,663	2444.9	− 2502	−57.1	× 47 / 200	−13.4
6	52,665	2492.9	− 2531	−38.1	× 50 / 200	−9.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,836	2406.0	− 2432	−26	× 42 / 199	−5.5
4	52,837	2437.8	− 2473	−35.2	× 44 / 199	−7.8
5	52,838	2466.7	− 2502	−35.3	× 63 / 199	−11.2
6	52,839	2496.3	− 2531	−34.7	× 50 / 199	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−33

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,818	2413.5	− 2432	−18.5	× 48 / 166	−5.3
4	52,819	2456.3	− 2473	−16.7	× 42 / 166	−4.2
5	52,820	2480.7	− 2502	−21.3	× 34 / 166	−4.4
6	52,821	2515.9	− 2531	−15.1	× 42 / 166	−3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,777	2414.0	− 2432	−18	× 43 / 164	−4.7
4	52,778	2428.5	− 2473	−44.5	× 46 / 164	−12.5
5	52,779	2458.5	− 2502	−43.5	× 41 / 164	−10.9
6	52,780	2514.3	− 2531	−16.7	× 34 / 164	−3.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,611	2437.5	− 2432	5.5	× 39 / 166	1.3
4	52,612	2442.1	− 2473	−30.9	× 43 / 166	−8
5	52,613	2448.7	− 2502	−53.3	× 40 / 166	−12.8
6	52,614	2479.1	− 2531	−51.9	× 44 / 166	−13.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−33

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,363	2390.3	− 2432	−41.7	× 53 / 183	−12.1
4	52,364	2423.6	− 2473	−49.4	× 43 / 183	−11.6
5	52,365	2446.1	− 2502	−55.9	× 43 / 183	−13.1
6	52,366	2488.5	− 2531	−42.5	× 44 / 183	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,258	2391.4	− 2432	−40.6	× 47 / 181	−10.5
4	52,259	2422.1	− 2473	−50.9	× 50 / 181	−14.1
5	52,260	2437.6	− 2502	−64.4	× 45 / 181	−16
6	52,261	2490.5	− 2531	−40.5	× 39 / 181	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −15, −28, −35, −47, −33, −18, −32, −33, −47, −49 → −33.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 13 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 12 · 2018→2019: 14 · 2019→2022: 15 · 2022→2023: 14 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 14 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 10.2
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.2 × 2.66 = 27.1. Upper limit −6.6, lower limit −60.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.