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The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,796	2428.4	− 2432	−3.6	× 905 / 5883	−0.6
4	50,798	2471.0	− 2473	−2	× 985 / 5883	−0.3
5	50,800	2518.3	− 2502	16.3	× 942 / 5883	2.6
6	50,802	2539.0	− 2531	8	× 1043 / 5883	1.4
7	50,804	2563.0	− 2552	11	× 985 / 5883	1.8
8	50,806	2589.3	− 2567	22.3	× 1023 / 5883	3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						9

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,169	2436.8	− 2432	4.8	× 895 / 5810	0.7
4	47,172	2482.6	− 2473	9.6	× 920 / 5810	1.5
5	47,173	2524.2	− 2502	22.2	× 999 / 5810	3.8
6	47,176	2555.8	− 2531	24.8	× 954 / 5810	4.1
7	47,177	2573.7	− 2552	21.7	× 1058 / 5810	4
8	47,179	2591.6	− 2567	24.6	× 984 / 5810	4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						18

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,451	2448.3	− 2432	16.3	× 823 / 5653	2.4
4	48,454	2484.1	− 2473	11.1	× 899 / 5653	1.8
5	48,455	2517.3	− 2502	15.3	× 918 / 5653	2.5
6	48,458	2556.5	− 2531	25.5	× 978 / 5653	4.4
7	48,459	2588.3	− 2552	36.3	× 986 / 5653	6.3
8	48,461	2592.1	− 2567	25.1	× 1049 / 5653	4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						22

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,462	2449.0	− 2432	17	× 828 / 5449	2.6
4	48,464	2491.6	− 2473	18.6	× 833 / 5449	2.8
5	48,466	2529.2	− 2502	27.2	× 893 / 5449	4.5
6	48,468	2560.9	− 2531	29.9	× 915 / 5449	5
7	48,470	2578.3	− 2552	26.3	× 986 / 5449	4.8
8	48,472	2599.1	− 2567	32.1	× 994 / 5449	5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						26

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,676	2445.0	− 2432	13	× 835 / 5284	2.1
4	48,677	2488.0	− 2473	15	× 827 / 5284	2.3
5	48,678	2531.2	− 2502	29.2	× 834 / 5284	4.6
6	48,679	2562.5	− 2531	31.5	× 884 / 5284	5.3
7	48,680	2585.7	− 2552	33.7	× 930 / 5284	5.9
8	48,681	2595.7	− 2567	28.7	× 974 / 5284	5.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						26

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,552	2434.5	− 2432	2.5	× 683 / 4615	0.4
4	48,553	2477.1	− 2473	4.1	× 798 / 4615	0.7
5	48,554	2509.9	− 2502	7.9	× 736 / 4615	1.3
6	48,555	2547.7	− 2531	16.7	× 776 / 4615	2.8
7	48,556	2570.0	− 2552	18	× 814 / 4615	3.2
8	48,557	2588.0	− 2567	21	× 808 / 4615	3.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,522	2436.5	− 2432	4.5	× 683 / 4453	0.7
4	48,523	2477.6	− 2473	4.6	× 677 / 4453	0.7
5	48,524	2514.8	− 2502	12.8	× 798 / 4453	2.3
6	48,525	2540.3	− 2531	9.3	× 717 / 4453	1.5
7	48,526	2574.7	− 2552	22.7	× 789 / 4453	4
8	48,527	2594.5	− 2567	27.5	× 789 / 4453	4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						14

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,381	2432.5	− 2432	0.5	× 661 / 4327	0.1
4	48,382	2474.3	− 2473	1.3	× 701 / 4327	0.2
5	48,383	2516.5	− 2502	14.5	× 688 / 4327	2.3
6	48,384	2547.8	− 2531	16.8	× 772 / 4327	3
7	48,385	2567.8	− 2552	15.8	× 718 / 4327	2.6
8	48,386	2593.5	− 2567	26.5	× 787 / 4327	4.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						13

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,143	2439.3	− 2432	7.3	× 638 / 4172	1.1
4	48,144	2473.1	− 2473	0.1	× 666 / 4172	0
5	48,145	2515.0	− 2502	13	× 700 / 4172	2.2
6	48,146	2541.6	− 2531	10.6	× 664 / 4172	1.7
7	48,147	2570.4	− 2552	18.4	× 789 / 4172	3.5
8	48,148	2586.6	− 2567	19.6	× 715 / 4172	3.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,000	2437.7	− 2432	5.7	× 620 / 4119	0.9
4	48,001	2478.2	− 2473	5.2	× 656 / 4119	0.8
5	48,002	2512.4	− 2502	10.4	× 679 / 4119	1.7
6	48,003	2537.3	− 2531	6.3	× 711 / 4119	1.1
7	48,004	2557.0	− 2552	5	× 676 / 4119	0.8
8	48,005	2591.6	− 2567	24.6	× 777 / 4119	4.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						10

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 9, 18, 22, 26, 26, 12, 14, 13, 12, 10 → 16.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 9 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 0 · 2019→2022: 14 · 2022→2023: 2 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 1 · 2025→2026: 2 → average 4.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 4.1 × 2.66 = 10.9. Upper limit 27.1, lower limit 5.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

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