San Antonio Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade 3 bar

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 100 points under the grade 3 bar. 2332 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader scores 26 points under the grade 3 bar. 2406 vs. 2432. The 4th-grade bar is 2473.
5th The average 5th grader scores 12 points under the grade 3 bar. 2420 vs. 2432. The 5th-grade bar is 2502.

2023 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	36,941	2368.5	− 2432	−63.5	× 82 / 248	−21
4	36,943	2425.0	− 2473	−48	× 82 / 248	−15.9
5	36,945	2469.8	− 2502	−32.2	× 84 / 248	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	34,427	2373.3	− 2432	−58.7	× 79 / 232	−20
4	34,428	2410.0	− 2473	−63	× 76 / 232	−20.6
5	34,430	2469.3	− 2502	−32.7	× 77 / 232	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,039	2358.6	− 2432	−73.4	× 84 / 233	−26.5
4	35,041	2426.2	− 2473	−46.8	× 76 / 233	−15.3
5	35,042	2441.0	− 2502	−61	× 73 / 233	−19.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−61

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,048	2383.8	− 2432	−48.2	× 75 / 225	−16.1
4	35,051	2425.6	− 2473	−47.4	× 76 / 225	−16
5	35,052	2470.9	− 2502	−31.1	× 74 / 225	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,219	2373.9	− 2432	−58.1	× 61 / 208	−17
4	35,220	2440.0	− 2473	−33	× 70 / 208	−11.1
5	35,221	2447.6	− 2502	−54.4	× 77 / 208	−20.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
5	34,358	2393.2	− 2502	−108.8	× 38 / 38	−108.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−109

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,116	2341.5	− 2432	−90.5	× 62 / 180	−31.2
4	35,117	2395.6	− 2473	−77.4	× 55 / 180	−23.7
5	35,118	2421.4	− 2502	−80.6	× 63 / 180	−28.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,147	2331.7	− 2432	−100.3	× 63 / 181	−34.9
4	35,148	2406.3	− 2473	−66.7	× 60 / 181	−22.1
5	35,149	2420.2	− 2502	−81.8	× 58 / 181	−26.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −48, −51, −61, −42, −48, −109, −83, −83 → −65.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 3 · 2016→2017: 10 · 2017→2018: 19 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2021: 61 · 2021→2022: 26 · 2022→2023: 0 → average 17.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 17.9 × 2.66 = 47.6. Upper limit −18, lower limit −113.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23.