Kernville Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2429 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2428 vs. 2432. The 4th-grade bar is 2473.
5th The average 5th grader scores 16 points under the grade 4 bar. 2457 vs. 2473. The 5th-grade bar is 2502.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	17,211	2431.9	− 2432	−0.1	× 20 / 36	−0.1
4	17,214	2457.8	− 2473	−15.2	× 16 / 36	−6.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,229	2421.7	− 2432	−10.3	× 23 / 43	−5.5
4	16,231	2483.5	− 2473	10.5	× 20 / 43	4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,535	2408.1	− 2432	−23.9	× 24 / 67	−8.6
4	16,537	2459.3	− 2473	−13.7	× 20 / 67	−4.1
5	16,540	2475.7	− 2502	−26.3	× 23 / 67	−9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−22

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,550	2418.8	− 2432	−13.2	× 16 / 62	−3.4
4	16,553	2473.5	− 2473	0.5	× 24 / 62	0.2
5	16,554	2383.1	− 2502	−118.9	× 22 / 62	−42.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,678	2448.0	− 2432	16	× 19 / 60	5.1
4	16,679	2446.7	− 2473	−26.3	× 19 / 60	−8.3
5	16,680	2449.5	− 2502	−52.5	× 22 / 60	−19.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,716	2467.2	− 2432	35.2	× 18 / 57	11.1
4	16,717	2464.6	− 2473	−8.4	× 24 / 57	−3.5
5	16,718	2539.4	− 2502	37.4	× 15 / 57	9.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,658	2411.6	− 2432	−20.4	× 20 / 57	−7.2
4	16,659	2497.6	− 2473	24.6	× 16 / 57	6.9
5	16,660	2490.4	− 2502	−11.6	× 21 / 57	−4.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−5

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,611	2399.3	− 2432	−32.7	× 16 / 53	−9.9
4	16,612	2451.9	− 2473	−21.1	× 19 / 53	−7.6
5	16,613	2486.2	− 2502	−15.8	× 18 / 53	−5.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,602	2428.1	− 2432	−3.9	× 16 / 49	−1.3
4	16,603	2451.9	− 2473	−21.1	× 18 / 49	−7.8
5	16,604	2509.9	− 2502	7.9	× 15 / 49	2.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	16,615	2428.5	− 2432	−3.5	× 19 / 51	−1.3
4	16,616	2428.0	− 2473	−45	× 18 / 51	−15.9
5	16,617	2456.9	− 2502	−45.1	× 14 / 51	−12.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −7, −1, −22, −45, −23, 17, −5, −23, −7, −30 → −14.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 6 · 2016→2017: 21 · 2017→2018: 23 · 2018→2019: 22 · 2019→2022: 40 · 2022→2023: 22 · 2023→2024: 18 · 2024→2025: 16 · 2025→2026: 23 → average 21.2
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 21.2 × 2.66 = 56.4. Upper limit 41.8, lower limit −71.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.