Just another coincidence? That's absurd. A system causes this predictability.
What you see is a thunderous signal saying what the system wants — causes — and with very little variation.
Over these years teachers come and go (there is a high teacher turnover rate). Students come and go. Principals come and go. School board members and superintendents come and go.
But the follow-the-schedule method remains. The same results continue because that is what the follow-the-schedule method causes. That is what the follow-the-schedule method “wants”.
A better method wants something better. A better method would be cause & effect, in a good way.
• Any result above zero is proficient; below is not proficient. • There is a 99% chance that results will remain the same in coming years, which is to say, between the Upper and Lower Control Limits (the gray lines).
What would a chart look like with a better method?
Notice the latest years in this chart!
Results ABOVE the present Upper Control Limit!
If San Leandro Unified School District (or any school district) migrated to a better method the results, hypothetically, would be something like this.
• Any result above zero is proficient; below is not proficient. • There is a 99% chance that results will remain the same in coming years, which is to say, between the gray lines.
The follow-the-schedule method wants results between the Upper and Lower Control Limits. A better method would want results above the present Upper Control Limit. (See more about this chart here.)
A better method would want what we want! Eventually, the new position of the Upper and Lower Control Limits would be higher, because a new method wants higher performance than the present follow-the-schedule method.
It gets better
A better method would be aligned with the goodness of people.
The mindfulness that superintendents bring in — before it was in conflict with the follow-the-schedule method. Mindfulness would be in alignment with a new method.
The desire of teachers to bring out the best from each and every student is in conflict with a one-size-fits-all follow-the-schedule method. That desire would be supported by a method which wants the same good things teachers do.
Everything gets better with a new method that is aligned with the goodness of people.